{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c86705bc-99bc-4cf3-a59f-f1485090f2c8",
    "symbol": "3521",
    "name": "TSG Development Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -54.838,
    "architecture_energy": 39.917,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.633,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.183,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.0,
        "rotation_up": 22.33,
        "upward_expansion": 8.11,
        "deceleration": 43.82,
        "rotation_down": 55.3,
        "downward_expansion": 81.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.26,
        12.43,
        12.649524,
        13.026989
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 12.25,
    "trend_reference": 13.576667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.097717,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.339423,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.25028,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -34.126292,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.255319,
    "excess_performance": -0.696691,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097717,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027576,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25028,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007239,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.341263,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015979,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.255319,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.722339,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 81084,
      "relative_activity": 0.162737,
      "balance": 1.722339,
      "dry_up": 0.430072,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080377,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.350721,
      "from_high_reference": -0.297994,
      "from_low_reference": 0.108597
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.576667,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.339423,
      "structural_low": 11.8,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.012448,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001143,
        "regime_survival": 0.814815,
        "best_return": 0.35443,
        "worst_return": -0.233146,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.012212,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019194,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.412017,
        "worst_return": -0.262195,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.099182,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031708,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.337398,
        "worst_return": -0.25,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.084917,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.348563,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.331915,
        "worst_return": -0.42132,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.188482,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030162,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.119891,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.086294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.280488,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 4,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "energy": 38.657825,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 616313.75,
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        "fair_value": 16.745833,
        "relative_strength": -30.062667,
        "stage": 1,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 610855.45,
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        "fair_value": 16.64968,
        "relative_strength": -32.559662,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.474164,
        "energy": 29.397427,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 206262,
        "typical_volume": 582712.5,
        "trend": 13.76,
        "fair_value": 16.567628,
        "relative_strength": -33.313896,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.034814,
        "energy": 30.205712,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.563333,
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          12.893571,
          13.303871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.35,
        "volume": 414700,
        "typical_volume": 556996.8,
        "trend": 13.72,
        "fair_value": 16.486538,
        "relative_strength": -30.970507,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.605973,
        "energy": 30.763484,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.483333,
          12.529091,
          12.808571,
          13.212903
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.25,
        "volume": 155090,
        "typical_volume": 535247.5,
        "trend": 13.661667,
        "fair_value": 16.411538,
        "relative_strength": -32.547077,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.215066,
        "energy": 38.956828,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.35,
          12.480909,
          12.722381,
          13.118065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 12.25,
        "volume": 81084,
        "typical_volume": 498251.25,
        "trend": 13.576667,
        "fair_value": 16.339423,
        "relative_strength": -34.126292,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.837713,
        "energy": 39.916881,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.26,
          12.43,
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          13.026989
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}