{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c86eb4d6-901f-4278-8373-786d0ffdcb2e", "symbol": "300515", "name": "Hunan Sundy Science and Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.861, "architecture_energy": 21.781, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.698, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.35, "rotation_up": 30.57, "upward_expansion": 22.66, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 28.98, "downward_expansion": 61.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.934, 14.431636, 14.989681, 15.849943 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 15.96, "trend_reference": 17.173635, "distance_from_trend": -0.070669, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.681081, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087113, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.804882, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.216879, "excess_performance": -0.224279, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070669, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098227, "read": "Falling" 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12.27, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.035221, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": -0.022452, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.287964, "worst_return": -0.149853, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.14297, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.078376, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.462317, "worst_return": -0.173255, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.066041, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.037741, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.922385, "worst_return": -0.296269, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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77383416, "typical_volume": 14957186.35, "trend": 17.443969, "fair_value": 14.679454, "relative_strength": -22.61395, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.565227, "energy": 56.995749, "activity_lines": [ 13.692667, 13.995008, 15.041291, 16.077746 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.25, "volume": 42651328, "typical_volume": 16252992.75, "trend": 17.296969, "fair_value": 14.680707, "relative_strength": -19.633884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.789848, "energy": 41.219419, "activity_lines": [ 14.264, 14.132467, 14.972153, 15.936199 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.96, "volume": 35861430, "typical_volume": 17548800.2, "trend": 17.173635, "fair_value": 14.681081, "relative_strength": -18.804882, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.861087, "energy": 21.780912, "activity_lines": [ 14.934, 14.431636, 14.989681, 15.849943 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }