{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c8782823-b94d-4d85-8064-a35ab819e1a7",
    "symbol": "HCW",
    "name": "HealthCo Healthcare and Wellness REIT",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.317,
    "architecture_energy": 56.775,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.889,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.045,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.67,
        "rotation_up": 64.14,
        "upward_expansion": 87.71,
        "deceleration": 43.53,
        "rotation_down": 14.08,
        "downward_expansion": 12.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.729,
        0.719,
        0.706167,
        0.695989
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.735,
    "trend_reference": 0.692667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061116,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.964287,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.237779,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.50739,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.042553,
    "excess_performance": -0.021152,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061116,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017262,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.237779,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077324,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015074,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038261,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042553,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.06406,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4275759,
      "relative_activity": 1.540851,
      "balance": 1.06406,
      "dry_up": 1.345083,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.055468,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.394862,
      "from_high_reference": -0.145349,
      "from_low_reference": 0.225
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.692667,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.964287,
      "structural_low": 0.6,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.023861,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002917,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.020137,
        "worst_return": -0.027586,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.017031,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.017031,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.030867,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.084625,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.128624,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.2414,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.128624,
        "worst_return": -0.128624,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.022635,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.715,
        "volume": 2658946,
        "typical_volume": 2852024.45,
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        "relative_strength": 0.265024,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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          0.706667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 4705320,
        "typical_volume": 2872004.6,
        "trend": 0.691667,
        "fair_value": 0.970495,
        "relative_strength": 1.409817,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.124163,
        "energy": 29.88645,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.712,
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          0.689806
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.745,
        "volume": 3290040,
        "typical_volume": 2784881.0,
        "trend": 0.6925,
        "fair_value": 0.967351,
        "relative_strength": 2.698676,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.989797,
        "energy": 49.808231,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.723667,
          0.714727,
          0.701595,
          0.693247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.735,
        "volume": 4275759,
        "typical_volume": 2774934.15,
        "trend": 0.692667,
        "fair_value": 0.964287,
        "relative_strength": -1.50739,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.317029,
        "energy": 56.775155,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.729,
          0.719,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}