{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c88941ba-8e31-479b-8c32-478eeb9e9cb5",
    "symbol": "ALUCI",
    "name": "Lucibel SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -90.551,
    "architecture_energy": 92.512,
    "architecture_maturity": 80.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.332,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.39,
        "rotation_up": 11.94,
        "upward_expansion": 21.08,
        "deceleration": 37.17,
        "rotation_down": 78.45,
        "downward_expansion": 94.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.622433,
        3.930055,
        4.267088,
        4.534446
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.0,
    "trend_reference": 4.68255,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.359323,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 32.126696,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.90662,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -66.738074,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.041667,
    "excess_performance": -0.011645,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.359323,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.380727,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.90662,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017973,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.667381,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083384,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041667,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.537321,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 387,
      "relative_activity": 0.91511,
      "balance": 0.537321,
      "dry_up": 0.41913,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.144154,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.24504,
      "from_high_reference": -0.818182,
      "from_low_reference": 0.5
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.68255,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.126696,
      "structural_low": 3.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": -0.039497,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051151,
        "regime_survival": 0.85,
        "best_return": 0.375358,
        "worst_return": -0.365541,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.456209,
        "sufficient": true
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        "worst_return": -0.671579,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 2609.8,
        "trend": 8.8726,
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        "relative_strength": -52.657807,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "energy": 55.615372,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "energy": 61.547721,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 2341.15,
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        "relative_strength": -53.84914,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 48.686934,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.345055
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": -59.277093,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 67.168423,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 2317.5,
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        "relative_strength": -63.555472,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -52.205684,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "energy": 47.986327,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.794926,
        "energy": 22.429065,
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          5.26026
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 4.0,
        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -59.477308,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -64.536931,
        "energy": 39.495785,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 910,
        "typical_volume": 706.5,
        "trend": 5.72425,
        "fair_value": 34.671144,
        "relative_strength": -60.220315,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.201603,
        "energy": 57.894249,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.285667,
          4.4324,
          4.719338,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.78,
        "volume": 156,
        "typical_volume": 709.75,
        "trend": 5.433583,
        "fair_value": 34.038153,
        "relative_strength": -59.238705,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.945774,
        "energy": 80.406287,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.0479,
          4.302955,
          4.600202,
          4.826233
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.9995,
        "volume": 166,
        "typical_volume": 574.6,
        "trend": 5.200233,
        "fair_value": 33.394399,
        "relative_strength": -56.146171,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.851431,
        "energy": 79.818712,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.957133,
          4.2271,
          4.514924,
          4.733712
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.9995,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 502.3,
        "trend": 4.887883,
        "fair_value": 32.760006,
        "relative_strength": -55.777752,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.613384,
        "energy": 79.518639,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.926367,
          4.166709,
          4.43441,
          4.656245
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.0,
        "volume": 387,
        "typical_volume": 422.9,
        "trend": 4.68255,
        "fair_value": 32.126696,
        "relative_strength": -66.738074,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -90.550788,
        "energy": 92.51199,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.622433,
          3.930055,
          4.267088,
          4.534446
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}