{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c89e0d48-1834-4b3a-9c23-44f26c1f805e", "symbol": "SONIC", "name": "Sonic Interfreight Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 76.852, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.933, "architecture_energy": 39.021, "architecture_maturity": 7.121, "architecture_confidence": 72.687, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.67, "rotation_up": 54.23, "upward_expansion": 79.21, "deceleration": 52.27, "rotation_down": 16.8, "downward_expansion": 5.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.530667, 1.521818, 1.515476, 1.502967 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.54, "trend_reference": 1.482173, "distance_from_trend": 0.039015, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.505467, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.022939, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.981899, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.098744, "excess_performance": -0.093581, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039015, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017408, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.022939, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017991, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.089819, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010626, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.098744, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.617173, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1426900, "relative_activity": 0.529664, "balance": 0.617173, "dry_up": 1.062503, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032967, "annualized_volatility": 0.110864, "from_high_reference": -0.031447, "from_low_reference": 0.16244 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.482173, "fair_value_reference": 1.505467, "structural_low": 1.3248, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.055901, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.03773, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.294643, "worst_return": -0.103448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.068323, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.049099, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.049107, "worst_return": -0.11403, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.080806, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.05924, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.127232, "worst_return": -0.140121, "sufficient": false }, { 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"stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.110393, "energy": 25.971884, "activity_lines": [ 1.509333, 1.509091, 1.503916, 1.489724 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.5, "volume": 5562000, "typical_volume": 2904660.0, "trend": 1.475067, "fair_value": 1.504852, "relative_strength": -13.845759, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.361997, "energy": 15.669887, "activity_lines": [ 1.506667, 1.507273, 1.504815, 1.491482 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.54, "volume": 3522600, "typical_volume": 3002915.0, "trend": 1.47744, "fair_value": 1.505039, "relative_strength": -11.36608, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.669837, "energy": 29.216662, "activity_lines": [ 1.517333, 1.513091, 1.509238, 1.495671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.53, "volume": 937900, "typical_volume": 2982080.0, "trend": 1.47948, "fair_value": 1.505048, "relative_strength": -10.530165, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.96756, "energy": 32.572046, "activity_lines": [ 1.523333, 1.516727, 1.512095, 1.499062 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.54, "volume": 1426900, "typical_volume": 2693970.0, "trend": 1.482173, "fair_value": 1.505467, "relative_strength": -8.981899, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.93295, "energy": 39.021313, "activity_lines": [ 1.530667, 1.521818, 1.515476, 1.502967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }