{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c8bab8ab-e34a-4828-ad59-16a22d2b530d",
    "symbol": "00892",
    "name": "Fubon Taiwan Core Semi ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.51,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 16.192,
    "architecture_energy": 20.535,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.754,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.136,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.49,
        "rotation_up": 20.71,
        "upward_expansion": 48.93,
        "deceleration": 85.14,
        "rotation_down": 32.94,
        "downward_expansion": 24.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        40.441312,
        38.29989
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 39.919998,
    "trend_reference": 34.806145,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.146924,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.503521,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.04681,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 8.796279,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.594886,
    "excess_performance": 0.215574,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146924,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.233596,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.04681,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.406282,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087963,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.19964,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.594886,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.56468,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23132585,
      "relative_activity": 1.429711,
      "balance": 0.56468,
      "dry_up": 2.018122,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.081355,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.404409,
      "from_high_reference": -0.119735,
      "from_low_reference": 1.382849
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.806145,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.503521,
      "structural_low": 24.51,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.038622,
        "positive_rate": 0.9,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.9,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015531,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.133546,
        "worst_return": -0.008237,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.083575,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02325,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.140496,
        "worst_return": 0.052936,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.137429,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.059354,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.096185,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2023-10-20",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.038885,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 13240559.6,
        "trend": 33.068812,
        "fair_value": 18.980566,
        "relative_strength": 7.303065,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 32.350999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.98,
        "volume": 26991442,
        "typical_volume": 14141530.75,
        "trend": 33.666812,
        "fair_value": 19.153862,
        "relative_strength": 8.4303,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.027677,
        "energy": 24.143064,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.09,
        "volume": 30392242,
        "typical_volume": 15282257.2,
        "trend": 34.214812,
        "fair_value": 19.322947,
        "relative_strength": 6.900607,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.090955,
        "energy": 23.442063,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.088309,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.919998,
        "volume": 23132585,
        "typical_volume": 16179902.15,
        "trend": 34.806145,
        "fair_value": 19.503521,
        "relative_strength": 8.796279,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.191551,
        "energy": 20.534583,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}