{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c8c4058d-2e6e-4f3e-b4a5-5c28051fdc04", "symbol": "PSRX", "name": "PsyRX CNS Bio-Tech Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.482, "architecture_energy": 18.833, "architecture_maturity": 37.336, "architecture_confidence": 82.455, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.31, "rotation_up": 20.45, "upward_expansion": 14.77, "deceleration": 67.47, "rotation_down": 53.52, "downward_expansion": 44.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.8072, 0.846091, 10.205295, 9.596381 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.762, "trend_reference": 7.884067, "distance_from_trend": -0.903349, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2074.001141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.999633, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -99.110247, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.169029, "excess_performance": -0.19793, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.903349, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.724871, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.999633, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.4e-05, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.991102, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004059, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.169029, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.270529, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 79257, "relative_activity": 1.757679, "balance": 0.270529, "dry_up": 0.932785, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 24.306179, "annualized_volatility": 9.120583, "from_high_reference": -0.997711, "from_low_reference": 0.088571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.884067, "fair_value_reference": 2074.001141, "structural_low": 0.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.038032, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.084265, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.011042, "worst_return": -0.065022, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.030011, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.038822, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.030011, "worst_return": 0.030011, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.417894, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.53546, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.417894, "worst_return": -0.417894, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.137052, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.99933, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.990851, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076233, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041379, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.056931, "active": true } ], 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7.899934, "fair_value": 2285.46009, "relative_strength": -99.209963, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.124667, "energy": 29.458999, "activity_lines": [ 0.868467, 10.187255, 13.211643, 10.969177 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.834, "volume": 30714, "typical_volume": 46895.85, "trend": 7.893434, "fair_value": 2212.644923, "relative_strength": -99.204285, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.995723, "energy": 23.142642, "activity_lines": [ 0.850667, 6.432818, 12.211034, 10.51331 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.808, "volume": 35518, "typical_volume": 43811.55, "trend": 7.888967, "fair_value": 2142.009077, "relative_strength": -99.137049, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.673472, "energy": 20.114365, "activity_lines": [ 0.8338, 2.679164, 11.209376, 10.056185 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.762, "volume": 79257, "typical_volume": 45091.85, "trend": 7.884067, "fair_value": 2074.001141, "relative_strength": -99.110247, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.482065, "energy": 18.832671, "activity_lines": [ 0.8072, 0.846091, 10.205295, 9.596381 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }