{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c8d46fed-4ce3-48a2-8eeb-fd0dfc160c5e", "symbol": "3597", "name": "Avertronics Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.74, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.286, "architecture_energy": 22.38, "architecture_maturity": 18.677, "architecture_confidence": 54.127, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.08, "rotation_up": 42.5, "upward_expansion": 70.46, "deceleration": 61.26, "rotation_down": 22.05, "downward_expansion": 6.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.680001, 26.618472, 26.536476, 25.997664 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26.700001, "trend_reference": 25.509723, "distance_from_trend": 0.04666, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.403826, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.011217, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.807914, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.090977, "excess_performance": -0.350395, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04666, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016037, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.011217, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003196, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.288079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032862, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.090977, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.470948, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 181001, "relative_activity": 0.392246, "balance": 1.470948, "dry_up": 0.330148, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085599, "annualized_volatility": 0.219922, "from_high_reference": -0.21304, "from_low_reference": 0.210302 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.509723, "fair_value_reference": 26.403826, "structural_low": 22.060605, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.013223, "positive_rate": 0.789474, "directional_follow_through": 0.789474, "median_excess_return": -0.025335, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.233727, "worst_return": -0.077228, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.018219, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.020028, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.113852, "worst_return": -0.150413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.016162, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.079853, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.149331, "worst_return": -0.219835, "sufficient": 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.0, "volume": 216076, "typical_volume": 470007.9, "trend": 25.289899, "fair_value": 26.301532, "relative_strength": -28.907662, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.119349, "energy": 16.200017, "activity_lines": [ 26.396061, 26.684532, 26.087796, 25.643788 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.15, "volume": 123360, "typical_volume": 468600.9, "trend": 25.365985, "fair_value": 26.330424, "relative_strength": -26.758606, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.945556, "energy": 21.728131, "activity_lines": [ 26.656667, 26.733017, 26.262886, 25.763795 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.200001, "volume": 180022, "typical_volume": 465748.75, "trend": 25.402197, "fair_value": 26.351416, "relative_strength": -27.769586, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.541196, "energy": 17.400191, "activity_lines": [ 26.563334, 26.595923, 26.329831, 25.817602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.950001, "volume": 125001, "typical_volume": 465098.8, "trend": 25.456844, "fair_value": 26.37631, "relative_strength": -26.708213, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.24931, "energy": 21.37409, "activity_lines": [ 26.673334, 26.623788, 26.45412, 25.91746 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 26.700001, "volume": 181001, "typical_volume": 461448.1, "trend": 25.509723, "fair_value": 26.403826, "relative_strength": -28.807914, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.28626, "energy": 22.379996, "activity_lines": [ 26.680001, 26.618472, 26.536476, 25.997664 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }