{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c8d48e80-1660-4ef2-90c9-a0ee955ec8aa", "symbol": "P1DT34", "name": "Prudential Financial, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.623, "architecture_energy": 93.472, "architecture_maturity": 13.773, "architecture_confidence": 72.949, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.99, "rotation_up": 87.32, "upward_expansion": 100.0, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.19, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 305.883339, 297.744915, 280.666956, 272.611166 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 309.070007, "trend_reference": 269.420574, "distance_from_trend": 0.147166, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 276.916794, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.116111, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.33947, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.167711, "excess_performance": 0.22476, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.147166, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003691, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.116111, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216106, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073395, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.333516, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.167711, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.849667, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3303, "relative_activity": 0.905105, "balance": 0.849667, "dry_up": 0.228263, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020931, "annualized_volatility": 0.215591, "from_high_reference": -0.025661, "from_low_reference": 0.345302 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 269.420574, "fair_value_reference": 276.916794, "structural_low": 229.740193, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": 0.010792, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.119336, "worst_return": -0.161286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.041624, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.054425, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.199288, "worst_return": -0.204773, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.020218, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.029984, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.221247, "worst_return": -0.314073, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-17", "close": 294.600006, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3482.8, "trend": 269.697852, "fair_value": 274.973295, "relative_strength": 0.491176, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.50144, "energy": 84.241361, "activity_lines": [ 291.040674, 281.783628, 267.366427, 265.17397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 299.700012, "volume": 17, "typical_volume": 3483.6, "trend": 269.320854, "fair_value": 275.582257, "relative_strength": 2.47559, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 61.39292, "energy": 86.46765, "activity_lines": [ 295.170009, 286.705093, 271.281737, 267.109593 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 315.0, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 3484.15, "trend": 269.474777, "fair_value": 276.268532, "relative_strength": 5.729064, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 97.954347, "energy": 99.238886, "activity_lines": [ 302.77934, 293.404914, 276.433494, 270.056635 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 309.070007, "volume": 3303, "typical_volume": 3649.3, "trend": 269.420574, "fair_value": 276.916794, "relative_strength": 7.33947, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.623478, "energy": 93.472031, "activity_lines": [ 305.883339, 297.744915, 280.666956, 272.611166 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }