{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c8deeb86-721c-4004-82cb-6e699b001664",
    "symbol": "XSVM",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P SMALLCAP VALUE WITH MOMENTUM ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.179,
    "architecture_energy": 58.949,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.307,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.697,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.79,
        "rotation_up": 61.21,
        "upward_expansion": 85.66,
        "deceleration": 62.66,
        "rotation_down": 23.35,
        "downward_expansion": 10.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 70.7211,
    "trend_reference": 64.932966,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.08914,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 54.260202,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30337,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.247242,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.105506,
    "excess_performance": -0.020119,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08914,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071489,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30337,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026515,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032472,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014869,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105506,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.517954,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.214277,
      "balance": 1.517954,
      "dry_up": 1.33988,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030267,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158288,
      "from_high_reference": -0.03082,
      "from_low_reference": 0.366145
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 54.260202,
      "structural_low": 57.200403,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.00438,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.56,
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        "worst_return": -0.106613,
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 5.702947,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 221353,
        "typical_volume": 143212.05,
        "trend": 63.661367,
        "fair_value": 53.80571,
        "relative_strength": 9.034353,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.874329,
        "energy": 86.428552,
        "activity_lines": [
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          65.666813
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 70.9575,
        "volume": 160185,
        "typical_volume": 139458.5,
        "trend": 64.091578,
        "fair_value": 53.956728,
        "relative_strength": 8.936352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.790826,
        "energy": 72.804663,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 71.2,
        "volume": 204450,
        "typical_volume": 139170.7,
        "trend": 64.554417,
        "fair_value": 54.108634,
        "relative_strength": 7.81354,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.276145,
        "energy": 64.20782,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 70.7211,
        "volume": 171655,
        "typical_volume": 141363.95,
        "trend": 64.932966,
        "fair_value": 54.260202,
        "relative_strength": 3.247242,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.178622,
        "energy": 58.949106,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}