{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c900a820-436e-491e-87a1-526a0e41ea28", "symbol": "300939", "name": "Shenzhen AV-Display Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.366, "architecture_energy": 23.339, "architecture_maturity": 77.068, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.3, "rotation_up": 24.08, "upward_expansion": 53.23, "deceleration": 91.07, "rotation_down": 38.64, "downward_expansion": 21.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.694, 55.609454, 54.957085, 51.347843 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 61.790001, "trend_reference": 46.595782, "distance_from_trend": 0.326086, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.051001, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.814631, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 46.585408, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.728801, "excess_performance": 0.721401, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.326086, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208812, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.814631, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.488433, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.465854, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.45029, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.728801, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.164369, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24938619, "relative_activity": 0.844485, "balance": 2.164369, "dry_up": 0.805962, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.198154, "annualized_volatility": 0.903769, "from_high_reference": -0.221396, "from_low_reference": 1.067533 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.595782, "fair_value_reference": 34.051001, "structural_low": 32.664321, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.012672, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.035257, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.132959, "worst_return": -0.189645, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.020367, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024048, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.367921, "worst_return": -0.114258, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.108242, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.021098, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.198525, "worst_return": 0.065461, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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26150559, "typical_volume": 31240310.55, "trend": 45.31425, "fair_value": 33.858886, "relative_strength": 15.16876, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.133724, "energy": 20.126339, "activity_lines": [ 53.380666, 57.641454, 54.284281, 50.296549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.5, "volume": 20262076, "typical_volume": 30761722.85, "trend": 45.680695, "fair_value": 33.877609, "relative_strength": 14.872405, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.505695, "energy": 20.397123, "activity_lines": [ 49.557999, 55.040363, 53.864196, 50.308533 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.790001, "volume": 24938619, "typical_volume": 29531158.9, "trend": 46.595782, "fair_value": 34.051001, "relative_strength": 46.585408, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.366024, "energy": 23.339241, "activity_lines": [ 52.694, 55.609454, 54.957085, 51.347843 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }