{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c91c3fb0-fdea-4b84-aa44-0aabdec03b74",
    "symbol": "NSSC",
    "name": "NAPCO Security Technologies Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 67.758,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -15.974,
    "architecture_energy": 10.72,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.397,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.834,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.39,
        "rotation_up": 28.98,
        "upward_expansion": 20.1,
        "deceleration": 40.37,
        "rotation_down": 25.94,
        "downward_expansion": 58.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 41.36,
    "trend_reference": 39.865167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.037497,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 36.156574,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.143914,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -10.094113,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.045259,
    "excess_performance": -0.232712,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037497,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031955,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143914,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013425,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100941,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003781,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045259,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.417109,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1367520,
      "relative_activity": 0.724359,
      "balance": 1.417109,
      "dry_up": 0.705314,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.069916,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.432524,
      "from_high_reference": -0.131066,
      "from_low_reference": 0.418039
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 36.156574,
      "structural_low": 34.177263,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.266304,
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.370702,
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2625587.45,
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        "fair_value": 36.095373,
        "relative_strength": -21.788158,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -49.799932,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.12,
        "volume": 1341674,
        "typical_volume": 2565573.8,
        "trend": 40.237068,
        "fair_value": 36.102485,
        "relative_strength": -18.240865,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.375363,
        "energy": 36.707097,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.681333,
          36.756928,
          38.36697,
          39.342533
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.74,
        "volume": 1239675,
        "typical_volume": 2478801.05,
        "trend": 40.013824,
        "fair_value": 36.107591,
        "relative_strength": -17.765895,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.906429,
        "energy": 38.359919,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.284,
          36.574865,
          38.010277,
          39.052399
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.08,
        "volume": 1377391,
        "typical_volume": 2022867.55,
        "trend": 39.880898,
        "fair_value": 36.126949,
        "relative_strength": -15.146148,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.547064,
        "energy": 35.225294,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.443333,
          36.642522,
          37.805533,
          38.86312
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.36,
        "volume": 1367520,
        "typical_volume": 1887904.75,
        "trend": 39.865167,
        "fair_value": 36.156574,
        "relative_strength": -10.094113,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -15.973768,
        "energy": 10.719848,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.043333,
          37.49163,
          38.033737,
          38.958546
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}