{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c91f1259-a08a-4b88-ba21-417875786141", "symbol": "WAAREEINDO", "name": "Indosolar Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.263, "architecture_energy": 80.318, "architecture_maturity": 18.055, "architecture_confidence": 82.026, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.75, "rotation_up": 8.58, "upward_expansion": 17.96, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 82.11, "downward_expansion": 95.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 338.343339, 361.240006, 382.97548, 388.406991 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 327.600006, "trend_reference": 397.421667, "distance_from_trend": -0.175687, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 365.723013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.10424, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.061997, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.245943, "excess_performance": -0.202234, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.175687, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097989, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.10424, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.279357, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.26062, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.297406, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.245943, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.365932, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 663171, "relative_activity": 1.842444, "balance": 0.365932, "dry_up": 1.437547, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103762, "annualized_volatility": 0.607224, "from_high_reference": -0.548138, "from_low_reference": 0.158416 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 397.421667, "fair_value_reference": 365.723013, "structural_low": 282.799988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.130355, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.073804, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.477142, "worst_return": -0.296273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.275526, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.319851, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.525083, "worst_return": -0.296273, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.77697, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.242239, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.77697, "worst_return": 0.77697, "sufficient": false }, 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2022-04-22", "end": "2022-05-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.308411, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-05-20", "end": "2022-07-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.153846, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-07-08", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.101818, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.157456, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.198433, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": 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"volume": 1112453, "typical_volume": 343300.0, "trend": 401.115, "fair_value": 365.738397, "relative_strength": -30.410589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.836495, "energy": 81.428177, "activity_lines": [ 350.726672, 371.143642, 389.963099, 393.149894 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 327.600006, "volume": 663171, "typical_volume": 359940.85, "trend": 397.421667, "fair_value": 365.723013, "relative_strength": -26.061997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.263253, "energy": 80.318126, "activity_lines": [ 338.343339, 361.240006, 382.97548, 388.406991 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }