{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c9286912-0188-44d4-b8a8-de312a667277",
    "symbol": "CWL",
    "name": "The Caldwell Partners International Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.635,
    "architecture_energy": 58.154,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.06,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.437,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.55,
        "rotation_up": 60.13,
        "upward_expansion": 81.2,
        "deceleration": 61.14,
        "rotation_down": 18.29,
        "downward_expansion": 10.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.062964,
        1.046007,
        0.992027,
        0.961913
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.05,
    "trend_reference": 0.939855,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.117193,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.859002,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.222349,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.494283,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.105385,
    "excess_performance": -0.015036,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117193,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041349,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.222349,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.170034,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074943,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072941,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105385,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.66617,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24300,
      "relative_activity": 0.462505,
      "balance": 0.66617,
      "dry_up": 1.381329,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051481,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.376026,
      "from_high_reference": -0.09809,
      "from_low_reference": 0.720406
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.939855,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.859002,
      "structural_low": 0.771789,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.026924,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.052123,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.33735,
        "worst_return": -0.238095,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.178866,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.211044,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.287499,
        "worst_return": -0.342356,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.151053,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.259228,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.337499,
        "worst_return": -0.345528,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.123524,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.173393,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.10419,
        "worst_return": -0.142857,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
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        "return": 0.057692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.13933,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -7.938896,
        "energy": 23.822937,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.841053,
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          0.897331,
          0.892526
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 0.92,
        "volume": 11000,
        "typical_volume": 63845.0,
        "trend": 0.86584,
        "fair_value": 0.866448,
        "relative_strength": 1.745609,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.772011,
        "energy": 6.153153,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.872646,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 0.93,
        "volume": 100100,
        "typical_volume": 64655.0,
        "trend": 0.874236,
        "fair_value": 0.865546,
        "relative_strength": 2.942768,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.662489,
        "energy": 21.561233,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.901649,
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          0.895572,
          0.9007
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 0.91,
        "volume": 47000,
        "typical_volume": 55190.0,
        "trend": 0.880996,
        "fair_value": 0.86476,
        "relative_strength": 0.200187,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.92,
        "volume": 78900,
        "typical_volume": 57635.0,
        "trend": 0.888089,
        "fair_value": 0.863855,
        "relative_strength": 1.945998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 29.786,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 47500,
        "typical_volume": 59240.0,
        "trend": 0.895808,
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        "relative_strength": -2.090245,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.152644,
        "energy": 19.774607,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.906292
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 82000,
        "typical_volume": 57760.0,
        "trend": 0.902536,
        "fair_value": 0.861721,
        "relative_strength": -4.925264,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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          0.905272
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 5000,
        "typical_volume": 55150.0,
        "trend": 0.912213,
        "fair_value": 0.861245,
        "relative_strength": 0.470617,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "direction": -6.619732,
        "energy": 7.740329,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.89,
        "volume": 7400,
        "typical_volume": 51405.0,
        "trend": 0.919598,
        "fair_value": 0.860883,
        "relative_strength": -4.187946,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.642725,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 6200,
        "typical_volume": 47095.0,
        "trend": 0.925312,
        "fair_value": 0.860573,
        "relative_strength": -2.223892,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 11.787177,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.901226,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.996473,
        "volume": 22600,
        "typical_volume": 44620.0,
        "trend": 0.929788,
        "fair_value": 0.860649,
        "relative_strength": 7.397114,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.945262,
        "energy": 42.73637,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.933539,
          0.921161,
          0.901318,
          0.908788
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 1.035937,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 43415.0,
        "trend": 0.931333,
        "fair_value": 0.860916,
        "relative_strength": 10.792594,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.848198,
        "energy": 63.075343,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.972574,
          0.94271,
          0.914687,
          0.915636
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 1.144464,
        "volume": 131400,
        "typical_volume": 49715.0,
        "trend": 0.934537,
        "fair_value": 0.860775,
        "relative_strength": 22.079009,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 66.215424,
        "energy": 83.602035,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.03739,
          0.981884,
          0.937982,
          0.929387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.105,
        "volume": 159700,
        "typical_volume": 55610.0,
        "trend": 0.937732,
        "fair_value": 0.860382,
        "relative_strength": 17.544384,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.884389,
        "energy": 92.829341,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.074086,
          1.009983,
          0.956593,
          0.940384
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.06,
        "volume": 68500,
        "typical_volume": 58070.0,
        "trend": 0.939426,
        "fair_value": 0.859823,
        "relative_strength": 12.135479,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.119179,
        "energy": 88.163053,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.081449,
          1.026355,
          0.970085,
          0.948273
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.04,
        "volume": 37800,
        "typical_volume": 57635.0,
        "trend": 0.939147,
        "fair_value": 0.859074,
        "relative_strength": 10.229008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.208088,
        "energy": 85.924238,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.071991,
          1.036545,
          0.981006,
          0.954761
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.05,
        "volume": 24300,
        "typical_volume": 52540.0,
        "trend": 0.939855,
        "fair_value": 0.859002,
        "relative_strength": 7.494283,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.635181,
        "energy": 58.153557,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.062964,
          1.046007,
          0.992027,
          0.961913
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}