{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c92e4378-7fc8-49ce-8192-bed31830c028",
    "symbol": "UIMC",
    "name": "UBS BBG MSCI Euro Area Liquid Corp Sustainable UCITS ETF EUR dis",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 94.979,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 29.767,
    "architecture_energy": 21.458,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.722,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.045,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.31,
        "rotation_up": 25.54,
        "upward_expansion": 55.52,
        "deceleration": 87.49,
        "rotation_down": 38.64,
        "downward_expansion": 21.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.014833,
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        13.025405,
        13.008578
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 13.0525,
    "trend_reference": 13.003484,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.003769,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.4572,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047788,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.06217,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.001461,
    "excess_performance": -0.066101,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003769,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002373,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047788,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006356,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070622,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062967,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001461,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.67502,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24519,
      "relative_activity": 0.287794,
      "balance": 0.67502,
      "dry_up": 0.510328,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.006409,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.038137,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007829,
      "from_low_reference": 0.027756
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 12.4572,
      "structural_low": 12.7,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.002854,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001337,
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        "best_return": 0.044607,
        "worst_return": -0.029647,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "typical_volume": 125780.35,
        "trend": 12.972827,
        "fair_value": 12.280644,
        "relative_strength": -2.054222,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.765502,
        "energy": 25.451237,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 12.9555,
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        "typical_volume": 131604.7,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 17.881614,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 142223.9,
        "trend": 12.974486,
        "fair_value": 12.301653,
        "relative_strength": -0.849452,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 19.881981,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 131470.85,
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        "relative_strength": -0.765479,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 137036.35,
        "trend": 12.97206,
        "fair_value": 12.323187,
        "relative_strength": 0.332555,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.491804,
        "energy": 14.602256,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.951467,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.9915,
        "volume": 94037,
        "typical_volume": 138816.8,
        "trend": 12.970947,
        "fair_value": 12.334753,
        "relative_strength": -2.826551,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.105122,
        "energy": 9.754475,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.960333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 13.0845,
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        "typical_volume": 137030.25,
        "trend": 12.972704,
        "fair_value": 12.346189,
        "relative_strength": -2.933875,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.742736,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 743,
        "typical_volume": 132817.0,
        "trend": 12.974457,
        "fair_value": 12.35729,
        "relative_strength": -2.063417,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.576066,
        "energy": 16.457293,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.015,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 1989,
        "typical_volume": 131282.1,
        "trend": 12.977701,
        "fair_value": 12.368882,
        "relative_strength": -1.304748,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.884665,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -2.62903,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 124012.0,
        "trend": 12.985005,
        "fair_value": 12.391817,
        "relative_strength": -0.729598,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.363431,
        "energy": 59.86235,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.074567,
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          12.996076,
          12.993468
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.1155,
        "volume": 8256,
        "typical_volume": 116688.65,
        "trend": 12.990203,
        "fair_value": 12.40412,
        "relative_strength": -5.011111,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.199722,
        "energy": 64.95567,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.0909,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 60031,
        "typical_volume": 116137.35,
        "trend": 12.994945,
        "fair_value": 12.415217,
        "relative_strength": -2.686595,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.035769,
        "energy": 59.167346,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.087333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.01,
        "volume": 45888,
        "typical_volume": 115995.15,
        "trend": 12.998446,
        "fair_value": 12.425699,
        "relative_strength": -2.137415,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.589418,
        "energy": 41.872644,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.063667,
          13.059345,
          13.017833,
          13.007491
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.98,
        "volume": 71516,
        "typical_volume": 112588.65,
        "trend": 13.000061,
        "fair_value": 12.435838,
        "relative_strength": -3.360176,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.02635,
        "energy": 14.190482,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.032633,
          13.047945,
          13.017976,
          13.006301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.9845,
        "volume": 31989,
        "typical_volume": 87118.75,
        "trend": 13.001647,
        "fair_value": 12.44613,
        "relative_strength": -5.183231,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.18891,
        "energy": 18.178412,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.007467,
          13.036191,
          13.018717,
          13.005297
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.0525,
        "volume": 24519,
        "typical_volume": 85196.25,
        "trend": 13.003484,
        "fair_value": 12.4572,
        "relative_strength": -7.06217,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.767414,
        "energy": 21.457541,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.014833,
          13.036927,
          13.025405,
          13.008578
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}