{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c92fd92b-f6bf-4773-bbb4-ead0b06ad941", "symbol": "OYY", "name": "PropNex Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 63.452, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -6.228, "architecture_energy": 6.361, "architecture_maturity": 15.727, "architecture_confidence": 44.731, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.97, "rotation_up": 18.11, "upward_expansion": 24.57, "deceleration": 62.09, "rotation_down": 38.64, "downward_expansion": 53.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.828, 1.831818, 1.819722, 1.816576 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.86, "trend_reference": 1.852913, "distance_from_trend": 0.003825, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.217246, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.528039, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.268733, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.09626, "excess_performance": -0.251096, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003825, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02695, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.528039, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066772, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212687, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137818, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.09626, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.810103, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3172200, "relative_activity": 0.80161, "balance": 1.810103, "dry_up": 0.853243, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04177, "annualized_volatility": 0.354497, "from_high_reference": -0.274947, "from_low_reference": 0.291543 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.852913, "fair_value_reference": 1.217246, "structural_low": 1.57041, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.02907, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.051827, "regime_survival": 0.153846, "best_return": 0.15, "worst_return": -0.219626, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.058824, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.032909, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.3125, "worst_return": -0.123302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.029043, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.045231, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.434446, "worst_return": -0.074354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.322353, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.078512, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.356334, "worst_return": -0.05727, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.011148, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.034884, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.026689, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.005436, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.144386, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.052632, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.893314, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.094421, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046729, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.065986, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039106, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.005376, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.804063, "volume": 3552700, "typical_volume": 4400970.0, "trend": 0.784776, "fair_value": 0.554132, "relative_strength": 17.695429, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", 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"trend": 1.86256, "fair_value": 1.19245, "relative_strength": -19.695867, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.346568, "energy": 21.892201, "activity_lines": [ 1.850667, 1.837818, 1.804057, 1.827493 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.78, "volume": 2334900, "typical_volume": 5516335.0, "trend": 1.860118, "fair_value": 1.198653, "relative_strength": -22.098202, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.842122, "energy": 13.436402, "activity_lines": [ 1.827333, 1.828727, 1.804066, 1.822167 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.78, "volume": 2279000, "typical_volume": 4486280.0, "trend": 1.858325, "fair_value": 1.204566, "relative_strength": -23.192686, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.37488, "energy": 21.062315, "activity_lines": [ 1.804, 1.820182, 1.805075, 1.816998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.85, "volume": 5720000, "typical_volume": 4199890.0, "trend": 1.858216, "fair_value": 1.210768, "relative_strength": -20.743048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.618685, "energy": 14.360883, "activity_lines": [ 1.814, 1.825273, 1.812449, 1.816461 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.86, "volume": 3172200, "typical_volume": 3957285.0, "trend": 1.852913, "fair_value": 1.217246, "relative_strength": -21.268733, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.227925, "energy": 6.361078, "activity_lines": [ 1.828, 1.831818, 1.819722, 1.816576 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }