{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c96d1ce1-70ef-4220-bacf-3d52c8448edd",
    "symbol": "TPHC",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Japan Topix UCITS ETF-C CHF Hedged",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.889,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.646,
    "architecture_energy": 43.664,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.989,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.247,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.82,
        "rotation_up": 46.82,
        "upward_expansion": 69.87,
        "deceleration": 62.55,
        "rotation_down": 26.93,
        "downward_expansion": 17.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        151.994943,
        149.62261
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 155.740005,
    "trend_reference": 146.704829,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061587,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 111.86843,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.392171,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.011993,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.082429,
    "excess_performance": 0.029118,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061587,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05646,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.392171,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005062,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06012,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089407,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082429,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.681807,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2024,
      "relative_activity": 3.441884,
      "balance": 0.681807,
      "dry_up": 2.430916,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02152,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.185459,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005301,
      "from_low_reference": 0.33903
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 146.704829,
      "fair_value_reference": 111.86843,
      "structural_low": 134.952499,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.015115,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017214,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.108792,
        "worst_return": -0.082322,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
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        "worst_return": -0.056355,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.056363,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "typical_volume": 980.45,
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        "fair_value": 105.586003,
        "relative_strength": 12.165667,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 40.298579,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1043.9,
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        "relative_strength": 19.001008,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1047.1,
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        "relative_strength": 15.045407,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 72,
        "typical_volume": 1043.75,
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        "relative_strength": 14.989343,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 13.649075,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 1000.3,
        "trend": 140.381771,
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        "relative_strength": 11.122559,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 109.159868,
        "relative_strength": 11.548246,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.899918,
        "energy": 82.689826,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 155.550003,
        "volume": 72,
        "typical_volume": 904.65,
        "trend": 143.116528,
        "fair_value": 109.625102,
        "relative_strength": 10.935595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.542986,
        "energy": 87.889797,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 154.600006,
        "volume": 144,
        "typical_volume": 904.15,
        "trend": 143.938962,
        "fair_value": 110.08948,
        "relative_strength": 11.876493,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.896828,
        "energy": 81.035014,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.548424,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 154.009995,
        "volume": 1164,
        "typical_volume": 909.05,
        "trend": 144.693948,
        "fair_value": 110.539052,
        "relative_strength": 10.832695,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.603107,
        "energy": 60.584219,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.535334,
          153.519226,
          150.319891,
          148.030029
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 154.460007,
        "volume": 266,
        "typical_volume": 871.15,
        "trend": 145.463935,
        "fair_value": 110.982158,
        "relative_strength": 10.188526,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.208305,
        "energy": 58.390445,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.438003,
          153.871034,
          151.029966,
          148.660098
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 150.75,
        "volume": 2264,
        "typical_volume": 637.75,
        "trend": 146.107129,
        "fair_value": 111.412616,
        "relative_strength": 5.432694,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.845282,
        "energy": 41.233755,
        "activity_lines": [
          153.224669,
          153.471282,
          151.306058,
          149.001134
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 155.740005,
        "volume": 2024,
        "typical_volume": 588.05,
        "trend": 146.704829,
        "fair_value": 111.86843,
        "relative_strength": 6.011993,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.646228,
        "energy": 43.663684,
        "activity_lines": [
          153.846669,
          153.94735,
          151.994943,
          149.62261
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}