{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c9795c48-d285-4fca-b188-96009f02b798", "symbol": "TSNF34", "name": "Tyson Foods, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 58.54, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.36, "architecture_energy": 42.178, "architecture_maturity": 51.194, "architecture_confidence": 53.88, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.25, "rotation_up": 24.34, "upward_expansion": 18.07, "deceleration": 66.77, "rotation_down": 45.33, "downward_expansion": 68.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.467334, 59.356291, 60.893949, 62.006353 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 59.914001, "trend_reference": 63.055529, "distance_from_trend": -0.049822, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.495256, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.007038, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.850348, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.095346, "excess_performance": -0.038298, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049822, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000823, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.007038, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083371, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058503, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056335, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.095346, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.694567, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2110, "relative_activity": 0.7425, "balance": 1.694567, "dry_up": 1.567256, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03185, "annualized_volatility": 0.204469, "from_high_reference": -0.131497, "from_low_reference": 0.12253 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.055529, "fair_value_reference": 59.495256, "structural_low": 57.408001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.001147, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025423, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.192752, "worst_return": -0.218075, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.013207, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.057652, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.172721, "worst_return": -0.168986, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.089131, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.106487, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.416849, "worst_return": -0.246493, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.483391, "energy": 89.868497, "activity_lines": [ 59.1792, 60.594201, 62.260978, 62.971717 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 58.638, "volume": 10005, "typical_volume": 2504.75, "trend": 63.104902, "fair_value": 59.307983, "relative_strength": -9.85881, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.457297, "energy": 65.720654, "activity_lines": [ 58.999333, 59.99157, 61.798545, 62.679769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.638, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2452.0, "trend": 63.046606, "fair_value": 59.373544, "relative_strength": -9.56529, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.602444, "energy": 63.235938, "activity_lines": [ 58.902267, 59.479057, 61.367908, 62.391582 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.202, "volume": 5700, "typical_volume": 2737.0, "trend": 63.040442, "fair_value": 59.4296, "relative_strength": -8.736399, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.235497, "energy": 52.892894, "activity_lines": [ 59.244533, 59.389018, 61.127652, 62.208059 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.914001, "volume": 2110, "typical_volume": 2841.75, "trend": 63.055529, "fair_value": 59.495256, "relative_strength": -5.850348, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.359669, "energy": 42.177779, "activity_lines": [ 59.467334, 59.356291, 60.893949, 62.006353 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }