{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c9861cb2-fdd8-4557-a7ad-80d7d4727009", "symbol": "002111", "name": "Weihai Guangtai Airport Equipment Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.171, "architecture_energy": 29.937, "architecture_maturity": 46.897, "architecture_confidence": 88.791, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.5, "rotation_up": 25.08, "upward_expansion": 15.79, "deceleration": 45.74, "rotation_down": 38.05, "downward_expansion": 65.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.377816, 9.282333, 9.670462, 9.875131 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.59, "trend_reference": 10.161062, "distance_from_trend": -0.056201, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.947232, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.035913, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.980128, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.086667, "excess_performance": -0.094066, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.056201, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025037, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.035913, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215052, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.089801, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002146, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.086667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.444957, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37083939, "relative_activity": 0.977748, "balance": 0.444957, "dry_up": 1.152827, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063791, "annualized_volatility": 0.324388, "from_high_reference": -0.179641, "from_low_reference": 0.118905 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.161062, "fair_value_reference": 9.947232, "structural_low": 8.570882, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.03053, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.022583, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.383736, "worst_return": -0.157156, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.078824, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.054323, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.324086, "worst_return": -0.206782, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.070142, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.092579, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.401148, "worst_return": -0.219189, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 9.937872, "relative_strength": -12.698235, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.523561, "energy": 73.371352, "activity_lines": [ 9.028972, 9.352799, 9.815013, 10.027143 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.16, "volume": 47489853, "typical_volume": 37884015.45, "trend": 10.217396, "fair_value": 9.939153, "relative_strength": -10.967649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.268123, "energy": 48.940316, "activity_lines": [ 9.056847, 9.243492, 9.733766, 9.957031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.55, "volume": 38959434, "typical_volume": 37822730.6, "trend": 10.192062, "fair_value": 9.942381, "relative_strength": -5.202986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.881723, "energy": 42.65863, "activity_lines": [ 9.240055, 9.24564, 9.6979, 9.913973 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.59, "volume": 37083939, "typical_volume": 37927908.5, "trend": 10.161062, "fair_value": 9.947232, "relative_strength": -8.980128, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.170986, "energy": 29.936749, "activity_lines": [ 9.377816, 9.282333, 9.670462, 9.875131 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }