{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c993298d-3e32-46ac-9bd9-88041301b38b", "symbol": "PPC", "name": "ProsperCap Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -78.325, "architecture_energy": 92.178, "architecture_maturity": 14.995, "architecture_confidence": 82.353, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.09, "rotation_up": 8.06, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 83.88, "downward_expansion": 97.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.056, 0.059145, 0.063538, 0.065155 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.055, "trend_reference": 0.065667, "distance_from_trend": -0.162437, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.131263, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.580993, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.746753, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.083333, "excess_performance": -0.238168, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.162437, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054702, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.580993, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119983, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.347468, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219313, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.083333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.159056, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.159056, "dry_up": 0.010242, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044755, "annualized_volatility": 0.571513, "from_high_reference": -0.444444, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.065667, "fair_value_reference": 0.131263, "structural_low": 0.055, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.314286, "directional_follow_through": 0.314286, "median_excess_return": -0.014705, "regime_survival": 0.742857, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.009991, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.35, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.12, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.167926, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.529052, "worst_return": -0.409091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.188889, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.150685, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.304364, "energy": 34.03947, "activity_lines": [ 0.068733, 0.072, 0.0704, 0.069469 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 0.064, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16500.0, "trend": 0.069167, "fair_value": 0.141205, "relative_strength": -24.750774, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.050437, "energy": 46.693452, "activity_lines": [ 0.066267, 0.070164, 0.070033, 0.069116 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 0.066, "volume": 31000, "typical_volume": 18050.0, "trend": 0.0689, "fair_value": 0.139705, "relative_strength": -20.074819, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.199314, "energy": 53.041306, "activity_lines": [ 0.065467, 0.068982, 0.069838, 0.068912 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.066, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18050.0, "trend": 0.068633, "fair_value": 0.138846, "relative_strength": -21.684457, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.503171, "energy": 49.782907, "activity_lines": [ 0.065533, 0.067982, 0.069614, 0.068725 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.066, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17550.0, "trend": 0.068367, "fair_value": 0.137987, "relative_strength": -20.732506, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.547743, "energy": 66.275695, "activity_lines": [ 0.065667, 0.067164, 0.069362, 0.068555 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.066, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12750.0, "trend": 0.0681, "fair_value": 0.137128, "relative_strength": -20.590113, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.934378, "energy": 60.508486, "activity_lines": [ 0.065867, 0.066527, 0.069081, 0.068402 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.06, "volume": 28700, "typical_volume": 13185.0, "trend": 0.067633, "fair_value": 0.13559, "relative_strength": -29.838598, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -52.662392, "energy": 72.236537, "activity_lines": [ 0.064, 0.064982, 0.0682, 0.06788 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.06, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13085.0, "trend": 0.067167, "fair_value": 0.134692, "relative_strength": -29.43046, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -57.274918, "energy": 81.773576, "activity_lines": [ 0.0624, 0.063782, 0.067367, 0.067387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.055, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 12205.0, "trend": 0.066533, "fair_value": 0.133122, "relative_strength": -35.35383, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -64.961626, "energy": 85.994265, "activity_lines": [ 0.059533, 0.062018, 0.066057, 0.066602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.055, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12205.0, "trend": 0.0659, "fair_value": 0.132192, "relative_strength": -34.876187, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.329297, "energy": 95.324534, "activity_lines": [ 0.0574, 0.060473, 0.064781, 0.065858 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.055, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 12205.0, "trend": 0.065667, "fair_value": 0.131263, "relative_strength": -34.746753, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.324581, "energy": 92.177602, "activity_lines": [ 0.056, 0.059145, 0.063538, 0.065155 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }