{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c99500aa-abad-4062-ba89-8548bfa859a1",
    "symbol": "PQDI",
    "name": "PRINCIPAL SPECTRUM TAX-ADVANTAGED DIVIDEND ACTIVE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 91.23,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 3.301,
    "architecture_energy": 7.8,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.701,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.54,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 61.44,
        "rotation_up": 23.8,
        "upward_expansion": 22.03,
        "deceleration": 62.62,
        "rotation_down": 41.82,
        "downward_expansion": 31.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.232486,
        19.253708,
        19.254485,
        19.238858
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 19.29,
    "trend_reference": 19.234648,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.002878,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 17.6582,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09241,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.031827,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -1.5e-05,
    "excess_performance": -0.12564,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002878,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004096,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09241,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023911,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100318,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010938,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.5e-05,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.192818,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13609,
      "relative_activity": 0.452291,
      "balance": 1.192818,
      "dry_up": 1.316185,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007221,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.039937,
      "from_high_reference": -0.019945,
      "from_low_reference": 0.042407
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.234648,
      "fair_value_reference": 17.6582,
      "structural_low": 18.721527,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.005093,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02321,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.024073,
        "worst_return": -0.010127,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.021231,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021134,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.024498,
        "worst_return": -0.000354,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.048604,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041593,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.05468,
        "worst_return": 0.042527,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.071457,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051104,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.071457,
        "worst_return": 0.071457,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-05-19",
        "end": "2023-06-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.023834,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-07-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025654,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-08-04",
        "end": "2023-08-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008695,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.003473,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0017,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.054547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      {
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "direction": 48.043752,
        "energy": 28.116325,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 39112,
        "typical_volume": 30287.3,
        "trend": 19.230953,
        "fair_value": 17.607092,
        "relative_strength": -7.214472,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.395772,
        "energy": 8.819681,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.215173,
        "volume": 61568,
        "typical_volume": 31954.8,
        "trend": 19.232559,
        "fair_value": 17.632367,
        "relative_strength": -7.517696,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 4.508519,
        "energy": 10.250878,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.215837,
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          19.247151,
          19.235152
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.29,
        "volume": 13609,
        "typical_volume": 30089.05,
        "trend": 19.234648,
        "fair_value": 17.6582,
        "relative_strength": -10.031827,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 3.300897,
        "energy": 7.799874,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}