{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c99d4caf-39bd-4eba-97b8-eb998b624314", "symbol": "SEZI", "name": "Senzime AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.866, "architecture_energy": 75.796, "architecture_maturity": 23.923, "architecture_confidence": 84.092, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 9.89, "upward_expansion": 17.74, "deceleration": 37.15, "rotation_down": 72.64, "downward_expansion": 91.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.773, 3.940545, 4.20981, 4.327312 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.835, "trend_reference": 4.506667, "distance_from_trend": -0.149038, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.925705, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.35282, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.148176, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.18143, "excess_performance": -0.242924, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.149038, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076944, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.35282, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131452, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.331482, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103615, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.18143, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.145293, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1770464, "relative_activity": 1.847547, "balance": 1.145293, "dry_up": 1.168552, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096981, "annualized_volatility": 0.475158, "from_high_reference": -0.451359, "from_low_reference": 0.081805 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.506667, "fair_value_reference": 5.925705, "structural_low": 3.545, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.046855, "positive_rate": 0.297297, "directional_follow_through": 0.702703, "median_excess_return": -0.037079, "regime_survival": 0.810811, "best_return": 0.730449, "worst_return": -0.40495, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.072829, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.058992, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.371257, "worst_return": -0.498824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.117437, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.111046, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.169492, "worst_return": -0.574, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.054545, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.162437, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.142578, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.062937, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.003106, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.208978, 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"relative_strength": -37.160284, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.16021, "energy": 78.632276, "activity_lines": [ 3.908, 4.107909, 4.332548, 4.431957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.7, "volume": 404393, "typical_volume": 913935.3, "trend": 4.549833, "fair_value": 5.931314, "relative_strength": -35.220633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.228626, "energy": 79.97148, "activity_lines": [ 3.801333, 4.003455, 4.263048, 4.37343 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.835, "volume": 1770464, "typical_volume": 958278.2, "trend": 4.506667, "fair_value": 5.925705, "relative_strength": -33.148176, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.86571, "energy": 75.795936, "activity_lines": [ 3.773, 3.940545, 4.20981, 4.327312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }