{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c9b59366-fb63-48be-8305-c24477a3ec67", "symbol": "5371", "name": "Coretronic Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.409, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 34.291, "architecture_energy": 19.597, "architecture_maturity": 29.62, "architecture_confidence": 54.282, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.46, "rotation_up": 40.26, "upward_expansion": 41.0, "deceleration": 48.42, "rotation_down": 31.38, "downward_expansion": 15.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.259999, 82.936336, 78.892193, 78.105111 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 90.099998, "trend_reference": 79.038981, "distance_from_trend": 0.139944, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 77.788464, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158269, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.848196, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.104251, "excess_performance": -0.337122, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139944, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030919, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.158269, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.270477, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.288482, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161118, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104251, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.278013, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70087356, "relative_activity": 1.120973, "balance": 3.278013, "dry_up": 1.378358, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124846, "annualized_volatility": 0.612039, "from_high_reference": -0.356245, "from_low_reference": 0.375294 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 79.038981, "fair_value_reference": 77.788464, "structural_low": 65.513273, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.012939, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.026133, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.247232, "worst_return": -0.238217, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.089494, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.016967, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.528651, "worst_return": -0.296855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.178915, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.022194, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.455253, "worst_return": 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"Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.834076, "energy": 34.676945, "activity_lines": [ 84.88, 80.650281, 76.958451, 77.50369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 73.699997, "volume": 54379267, "typical_volume": 57452146.5, "trend": 79.026208, "fair_value": 77.575658, "relative_strength": -39.653931, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.321409, "energy": 13.889205, "activity_lines": [ 81.339999, 79.946838, 76.77599, 77.127931 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 83.0, "volume": 68170014, "typical_volume": 59881246.55, "trend": 78.927496, "fair_value": 77.683502, "relative_strength": -32.948323, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.15576, "energy": 8.123315, "activity_lines": [ 80.779999, 80.895545, 77.511634, 77.384305 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 90.099998, "volume": 70087356, "typical_volume": 62523654.55, "trend": 79.038981, "fair_value": 77.788464, "relative_strength": -28.848196, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.291057, "energy": 19.596809, "activity_lines": [ 83.259999, 82.936336, 78.892193, 78.105111 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }