{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c9c04521-4104-4f1a-b500-e34d0105c68b", "symbol": "IFEB", "name": "INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST INTL DEVELOPED PWR BUFFER ETF FEB", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 50.915, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.782, "architecture_energy": 80.995, "architecture_maturity": 31.457, "architecture_confidence": 74.024, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.31, "rotation_up": 70.59, "upward_expansion": 90.84, "deceleration": 45.91, "rotation_down": 15.93, "downward_expansion": 17.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.675547, 31.497496, 31.255405, 31.017632 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 32.12, "trend_reference": 30.789647, "distance_from_trend": 0.043208, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.046658, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.145235, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.524818, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.044424, "excess_performance": -0.081201, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043208, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01536, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.145235, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026275, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055248, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013702, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.044424, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.49215, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72996, "relative_activity": 0.801744, "balance": 1.49215, "dry_up": 0.662332, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0119, "annualized_volatility": 0.092781, "from_high_reference": -0.040621, "from_low_reference": 0.115665 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.789647, "fair_value_reference": 28.046658, "structural_low": 29.1915, 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"close": 31.2436, "volume": 92879, "typical_volume": 98469.9, "trend": 30.651403, "fair_value": 27.961677, "relative_strength": -4.870096, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.050144, "energy": 52.784528, "activity_lines": [ 31.2997, 31.221471, 30.982033, 30.821937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.2942, "volume": 53242, "typical_volume": 93304.25, "trend": 30.685923, "fair_value": 27.987312, "relative_strength": -4.011743, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.708456, "energy": 52.440608, "activity_lines": [ 31.30076, 31.251205, 31.041814, 30.863407 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.6883, "volume": 22095, "typical_volume": 89471.1, "trend": 30.7319, "fair_value": 28.015563, "relative_strength": -3.702051, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.176012, "energy": 61.175823, "activity_lines": [ 31.43624, 31.341071, 31.132895, 30.928077 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.12, "volume": 72996, "typical_volume": 91046.55, "trend": 30.789647, "fair_value": 28.046658, "relative_strength": -5.524818, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.781792, "energy": 80.994586, "activity_lines": [ 31.675547, 31.497496, 31.255405, 31.017632 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }