{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c9cb5129-4c9c-41ef-b41a-83b343d90676", "symbol": "VGUARD", "name": "V-Guard Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 54.815, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -23.779, "architecture_energy": 12.818, "architecture_maturity": 40.875, "architecture_confidence": 82.44, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.23, "rotation_up": 28.82, "upward_expansion": 17.21, "deceleration": 38.69, "rotation_down": 33.77, "downward_expansion": 64.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 308.341732, 305.908442, 309.155429, 312.325089 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 319.649994, "trend_reference": 315.963921, "distance_from_trend": 0.011666, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 355.104407, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.099842, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.969157, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.046817, "excess_performance": -0.003108, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011666, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03341, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.099842, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041283, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029692, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006718, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.046817, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.401065, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8183549, "relative_activity": 2.423587, "balance": 6.401065, "dry_up": 3.664806, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053664, "annualized_volatility": 0.200879, "from_high_reference": -0.184982, "from_low_reference": 0.112089 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 315.963921, "fair_value_reference": 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47.581086, "activity_lines": [ 302.359633, 304.103093, 310.962246, 314.040588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 289.422455, "volume": 1133727, "typical_volume": 1088010.0, "trend": 316.395588, "fair_value": 354.771935, "relative_strength": -9.68104, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.001655, "energy": 62.526816, "activity_lines": [ 297.477443, 301.046356, 308.532503, 312.218068 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 314.25, "volume": 39350850, "typical_volume": 3002524.55, "trend": 315.845588, "fair_value": 354.981725, "relative_strength": -4.076758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.187513, "energy": 29.781883, "activity_lines": [ 302.326272, 303.069672, 308.573133, 312.079643 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 319.649994, "volume": 8183549, "typical_volume": 3376626.9, "trend": 315.963921, "fair_value": 355.104407, "relative_strength": -2.969157, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.779452, "energy": 12.818485, "activity_lines": [ 308.341732, 305.908442, 309.155429, 312.325089 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }