{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c9d00267-0925-4852-b68a-e69272a557c2", "symbol": "DRI", "name": "Darden Restaurants Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.398, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.63, "architecture_energy": 11.614, "architecture_maturity": 18.302, "architecture_confidence": 53.179, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.19, "rotation_up": 31.43, "upward_expansion": 32.56, "deceleration": 66.89, "rotation_down": 36.27, "downward_expansion": 20.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 204.890667, 204.885596, 203.377323, 202.765104 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 213.76, "trend_reference": 203.180968, "distance_from_trend": 0.052067, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 173.27566, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.233641, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.913773, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.0039, "excess_performance": -0.129525, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052067, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04124, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.233641, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070599, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029138, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087185, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.0039, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.710149, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5276343, "relative_activity": 0.85742, "balance": 1.710149, "dry_up": 1.072389, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060779, "annualized_volatility": 0.220927, "from_high_reference": -0.023662, "from_low_reference": 0.284163 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 203.180968, "fair_value_reference": 173.27566, "structural_low": 186.905, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.014875, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.019382, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.138547, "worst_return": -0.106648, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.034892, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.023519, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.124582, "worst_return": -0.189824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.054215, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.068149, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.288857, "worst_return": -0.091198, "sufficient": true 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"trend": 202.109278, "fair_value": 172.491804, "relative_strength": -7.244606, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.507704, "energy": 16.042682, "activity_lines": [ 200.392175, 203.166785, 201.823809, 201.959817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 203.58, "volume": 7657600, "typical_volume": 6607431.05, "trend": 202.748783, "fair_value": 172.845364, "relative_strength": -4.527252, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.060305, "energy": 8.062803, "activity_lines": [ 200.662813, 203.101373, 202.122413, 202.054703 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 213.76, "volume": 5276343, "typical_volume": 6153745.5, "trend": 203.180968, "fair_value": 173.27566, "relative_strength": -2.913773, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.629764, "energy": 11.614267, "activity_lines": [ 204.890667, 204.885596, 203.377323, 202.765104 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }