{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c9d37223-1087-4faa-b3e6-5f01aeab624c", "symbol": "BQC", "name": "A-Smart Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.982, "architecture_energy": 88.926, "architecture_maturity": 30.097, "architecture_confidence": 86.585, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.52, "rotation_up": 10.12, "upward_expansion": 21.46, "deceleration": 37.24, "rotation_down": 82.77, "downward_expansion": 99.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.090467, 0.094855, 0.101881, 0.105759 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.088, "trend_reference": 0.110167, "distance_from_trend": -0.20121, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.104232, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155726, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.33409, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.22807, "excess_performance": -0.382905, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.20121, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041751, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155726, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171078, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313341, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.338591, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.22807, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.019904, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8000, "relative_activity": 0.306748, "balance": 0.019904, "dry_up": 0.333589, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072552, "annualized_volatility": 0.56412, "from_high_reference": -0.388889, "from_low_reference": 0.08642 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.110167, "fair_value_reference": 0.104232, "structural_low": 0.088, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.015788, "positive_rate": 0.351351, "directional_follow_through": 0.594595, "median_excess_return": -0.042813, "regime_survival": 0.837838, "best_return": 1.076936, "worst_return": -0.289066, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.031576, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.025639, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 1.850003, "worst_return": -0.461675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.045453, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.001429, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.908172, "worst_return": -0.568274, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.271782, "energy": 49.420731, "activity_lines": [ 0.110133, 0.112109, 0.113686, 0.114159 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.118, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 41460.0, "trend": 0.114133, "fair_value": 0.109253, "relative_strength": -0.647066, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.512768, "energy": 17.007633, "activity_lines": [ 0.112533, 0.112909, 0.113967, 0.114419 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.095, "volume": 23000, "typical_volume": 39265.0, "trend": 0.113733, "fair_value": 0.108746, "relative_strength": -19.769185, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.426175, "energy": 72.629232, "activity_lines": [ 0.106867, 0.109473, 0.112086, 0.113185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.104, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 36165.0, "trend": 0.113467, "fair_value": 0.108152, "relative_strength": -13.041241, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.870636, "energy": 66.234524, "activity_lines": [ 0.105333, 0.108073, 0.111152, 0.112557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.09, "volume": 39100, "typical_volume": 35445.0, "trend": 0.1128, "fair_value": 0.107269, "relative_strength": -27.667966, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.013244, "energy": 84.970235, "activity_lines": [ 0.099667, 0.1044, 0.108919, 0.111043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.095, "volume": 2500, "typical_volume": 31970.0, "trend": 0.112267, "fair_value": 0.106589, "relative_strength": -24.10227, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.396115, "energy": 84.841147, "activity_lines": [ 0.097, 0.102127, 0.107338, 0.109895 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.095, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 28265.0, "trend": 0.111833, "fair_value": 0.10591, "relative_strength": -25.031555, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.291724, "energy": 83.768971, "activity_lines": [ 0.0952, 0.1002, 0.105862, 0.108781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.088, "volume": 24300, "typical_volume": 27365.0, "trend": 0.111, "fair_value": 0.104985, "relative_strength": -30.76755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.936024, "energy": 91.684594, "activity_lines": [ 0.0926, 0.097309, 0.103824, 0.107243 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.088, "volume": 8000, "typical_volume": 26080.0, "trend": 0.110167, "fair_value": 0.104232, "relative_strength": -31.33409, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.981536, "energy": 88.926375, "activity_lines": [ 0.090467, 0.094855, 0.101881, 0.105759 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }