{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c9ed6ea7-b7c3-4674-8285-4cb683183fbc", "symbol": "EMB", "name": "Embelton Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 62.791, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.846, "architecture_energy": 23.803, "architecture_maturity": 33.41, "architecture_confidence": 64.213, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.25, "rotation_up": 15.66, "upward_expansion": 20.29, "deceleration": 66.7, "rotation_down": 55.66, "downward_expansion": 36.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.08, 8.111636, 8.149952, 8.128796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.1, "trend_reference": 8.084667, "distance_from_trend": 0.001897, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.313226, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025649, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.33929, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.021438, "excess_performance": -0.042268, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001897, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011041, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.025649, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011835, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033393, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056312, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.021438, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.396214, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012441, "annualized_volatility": 0.11107, "from_high_reference": -0.063584, "from_low_reference": 0.107814 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.084667, "fair_value_reference": 8.313226, "structural_low": 7.93, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed 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-26.053438, "energy": 41.361427, "activity_lines": [ 8.062, 8.167273, 8.162095, 8.123761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.1, "volume": 247, "typical_volume": 155.85, "trend": 8.073988, "fair_value": 8.328876, "relative_strength": 2.052641, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.770637, "energy": 39.723279, "activity_lines": [ 8.054, 8.148909, 8.158619, 8.125763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.1, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 155.85, "trend": 8.079, "fair_value": 8.321051, "relative_strength": -0.275527, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.696246, "energy": 34.775512, "activity_lines": [ 8.06, 8.130364, 8.154333, 8.127441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.1, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 155.85, "trend": 8.084667, "fair_value": 8.313226, "relative_strength": -3.33929, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.845701, "energy": 23.802567, "activity_lines": [ 8.08, 8.111636, 8.149952, 8.128796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }