{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca02c371-6fe6-42df-bd40-192c2a7ce685", "symbol": "MUTC34", "name": "Micron Technology, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.369, "architecture_energy": 27.339, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.541, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.98, "rotation_up": 19.85, "upward_expansion": 54.85, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 32.93, "downward_expansion": 20.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 742.518014, 795.989683, 747.212699, 660.565968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 740.590027, "trend_reference": 553.081131, "distance_from_trend": 0.339026, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 191.44938, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.868333, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 84.805464, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.178827, "excess_performance": 1.235875, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.339026, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.542696, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.868333, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.818485, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.848055, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.561416, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.178827, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.787607, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 930327, "relative_activity": 2.037803, "balance": 0.787607, "dry_up": 1.934586, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.170493, "annualized_volatility": 0.862324, "from_high_reference": -0.281219, "from_low_reference": 6.149595 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 553.081131, "fair_value_reference": 191.44938, "structural_low": 271.76001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.052311, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.07217, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.342837, "worst_return": -0.144397, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.506017, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.429827, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.787051, "worst_return": -0.193849, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.009414, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.048986, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.158633, "worst_return": -0.252696, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 491.601662, "fair_value": 173.933076, "relative_strength": 129.785029, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.579507, "energy": 66.939821, "activity_lines": [ 898.758651, 850.009504, 697.435751, 603.44934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 726.950012, "volume": 748440, "typical_volume": 359445.1, "trend": 507.580659, "fair_value": 178.261673, "relative_strength": 97.106582, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.905731, "energy": 56.736622, "activity_lines": [ 839.711198, 838.126121, 711.739585, 618.633104 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 782.640015, "volume": 657172, "typical_volume": 378474.65, "trend": 524.998131, "fair_value": 182.921559, "relative_strength": 104.891629, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.73323, "energy": 37.980243, "activity_lines": [ 806.024471, 834.240637, 729.556038, 636.378869 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 698.0, "volume": 1196881, "typical_volume": 425606.45, "trend": 538.691861, "fair_value": 187.035891, "relative_strength": 73.848373, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.481446, "energy": 27.162459, "activity_lines": [ 757.693339, 811.825777, 737.118195, 647.54028 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 740.590027, "volume": 930327, "typical_volume": 456534.3, "trend": 553.081131, "fair_value": 191.44938, "relative_strength": 84.805464, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.369191, "energy": 27.339235, "activity_lines": [ 742.518014, 795.989683, 747.212699, 660.565968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }