{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca0eb7b5-0c3e-45b7-96ae-0cbfa000759a", "symbol": "DOC", "name": "Healthpeak Properties Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.295, "architecture_energy": 60.484, "architecture_maturity": 46.207, "architecture_confidence": 87.793, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 56.63, "upward_expansion": 84.26, "deceleration": 57.87, "rotation_down": 25.28, "downward_expansion": 10.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.836486, 21.617037, 20.55284, 19.623361 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.41, "trend_reference": 18.572447, "distance_from_trend": 0.152783, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.405473, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.230073, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.088953, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.306464, "excess_performance": 0.180839, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.152783, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09617, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.230073, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092706, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.07089, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040533, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.306464, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.653293, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36297109, "relative_activity": 0.923031, "balance": 0.653293, "dry_up": 0.804621, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051588, "annualized_volatility": 0.340386, "from_high_reference": -0.067062, "from_low_reference": 0.409258 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.572447, "fair_value_reference": 17.405473, "structural_low": 15.541185, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.003165, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.018084, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.150818, "worst_return": -0.196549, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.020767, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.04951, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.095561, "worst_return": -0.202443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.029757, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.09419, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.078453, "worst_return": -0.259325, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.449292, "energy": 87.339608, "activity_lines": [ 21.732871, 21.030187, 19.722817, 18.916802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.27, "volume": 30217012, "typical_volume": 39803935.7, "trend": 18.19197, "fair_value": 17.353947, "relative_strength": 17.089384, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.528047, "energy": 83.84198, "activity_lines": [ 22.044642, 21.355557, 20.066061, 19.19429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.83, "volume": 31499533, "typical_volume": 39905553.85, "trend": 18.397429, "fair_value": 17.380173, "relative_strength": 13.226507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.993942, "energy": 63.339564, "activity_lines": [ 22.023159, 21.544458, 20.341867, 19.429001 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.41, "volume": 36297109, "typical_volume": 39323831.65, "trend": 18.572447, "fair_value": 17.405473, "relative_strength": 7.088953, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.294808, "energy": 60.483884, "activity_lines": [ 21.836486, 21.617037, 20.55284, 19.623361 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }