{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca1c590c-5fee-46cf-8d3c-419cda8181f5", "symbol": "INTJ", "name": "Intelligent Group Limited Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.522, "architecture_energy": 60.113, "architecture_maturity": 53.247, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.46, "rotation_up": 23.11, "upward_expansion": 10.75, "deceleration": 58.01, "rotation_down": 61.35, "downward_expansion": 86.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.287667, 3.532365, 5.347215, 6.209189 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.375, "trend_reference": 6.97678, "distance_from_trend": -0.516252, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.029021, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.775434, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -66.825398, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.473315, "excess_performance": -0.660768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.516252, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257397, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.775434, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.38169, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.668254, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.321962, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.473315, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.067127, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91325, "relative_activity": 0.716788, "balance": 0.067127, "dry_up": 0.554856, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.439132, "annualized_volatility": 0.954949, "from_high_reference": -0.836165, "from_low_reference": 0.35 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.97678, "fair_value_reference": 15.029021, "structural_low": 2.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.032962, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061115, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.333824, "worst_return": -0.297663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.079235, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.040909, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.532544, "worst_return": -0.374074, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.040741, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.118081, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.040741, "worst_return": -0.040741, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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15.517855, "relative_strength": -72.263919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.222374, "energy": 91.127555, "activity_lines": [ 4.16934, 5.830675, 7.323946, 7.649395 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.44, "volume": 428609, "typical_volume": 119705.3, "trend": 8.03828, "fair_value": 15.418038, "relative_strength": -72.204072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.389588, "energy": 90.059405, "activity_lines": [ 3.825113, 5.154613, 6.905992, 7.334315 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.17, "volume": 80013, "typical_volume": 121547.75, "trend": 7.764813, "fair_value": 15.317644, "relative_strength": -71.816538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.997623, "energy": 88.3697, "activity_lines": [ 3.529553, 4.550551, 6.480416, 7.020232 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.34, "volume": 47349, "typical_volume": 122329.1, "trend": 7.48948, "fair_value": 15.220265, "relative_strength": -68.38361, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.492243, "energy": 70.83843, "activity_lines": [ 3.39266, 4.097944, 6.089571, 6.73476 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.16, "volume": 64087, "typical_volume": 124536.65, "trend": 7.19188, "fair_value": 15.123005, "relative_strength": -68.825008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.586841, "energy": 64.312533, "activity_lines": [ 3.274, 3.736427, 5.699488, 6.455439 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.375, "volume": 91325, "typical_volume": 127408.7, "trend": 6.97678, "fair_value": 15.029021, "relative_strength": -66.825398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.521852, "energy": 60.112857, "activity_lines": [ 3.287667, 3.532365, 5.347215, 6.209189 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }