{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca20aad0-f674-44ef-a7d8-9b65bb947e32", "symbol": "STPU", "name": "Amundi US Curve steepening 2-10Y UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 82.622, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.472, "architecture_energy": 76.427, "architecture_maturity": 12.942, "architecture_confidence": 75.868, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.83, "rotation_up": 73.68, "upward_expansion": 93.92, "deceleration": 42.33, "rotation_down": 11.43, "downward_expansion": 18.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.107334, 85.907891, 85.455357, 85.283557 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 86.080002, "trend_reference": 85.0783, "distance_from_trend": 0.011774, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 86.974715, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010287, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.744017, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.015597, "excess_performance": -0.037714, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011774, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002318, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010287, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01813, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.05744, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029881, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015597, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 37.419643, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 37.419643, "dry_up": 1.278395, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005673, "annualized_volatility": 0.05507, "from_high_reference": -0.129137, "from_low_reference": 0.031738 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.0783, "fair_value_reference": 86.974715, "structural_low": 83.5, 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85.133545, 84.964485, 84.913899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 86.040001, "volume": 1353, "typical_volume": 285.7, "trend": 84.9146, "fair_value": 86.87501, "relative_strength": -2.160364, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.186458, "energy": 71.330655, "activity_lines": [ 85.627867, 85.336527, 85.070014, 84.989157 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 86.169998, "volume": 1483, "typical_volume": 310.45, "trend": 84.960966, "fair_value": 86.90958, "relative_strength": -1.9074, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.854961, "energy": 81.947113, "activity_lines": [ 85.854, 85.528727, 85.180471, 85.07015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 86.169998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 308.15, "trend": 85.007333, "fair_value": 86.937471, "relative_strength": -2.214633, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.912611, "energy": 83.879285, "activity_lines": [ 86.019999, 85.687254, 85.279418, 85.148152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 86.080002, "volume": 14, "typical_volume": 298.55, "trend": 85.0539, "fair_value": 86.958067, "relative_strength": -3.666249, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.703071, "energy": 80.030315, "activity_lines": [ 86.075333, 85.807509, 85.366523, 85.217357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 86.080002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 292.75, "trend": 85.0783, "fair_value": 86.974715, "relative_strength": -5.744017, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.472042, "energy": 76.427402, "activity_lines": [ 86.107334, 85.907891, 85.455357, 85.283557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }