{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ca228f9d-9b6f-4e0f-a2a8-15579d685f3f",
    "symbol": "SNFE",
    "name": "Leverage Shares -1x Netflix ETP Securities",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 91.059,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.034,
    "architecture_energy": 65.965,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.614,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.965,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.15,
        "rotation_up": 63.34,
        "upward_expansion": 83.0,
        "deceleration": 65.85,
        "rotation_down": 18.83,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.63,
        3.583455,
        3.370286,
        3.249484
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 3.49,
    "trend_reference": 3.158333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.105013,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.258941,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.180548,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.152998,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.051205,
    "excess_performance": -3e-05,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105013,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08422,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180548,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.184252,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11153,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05553,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051205,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 4.0,
      "dry_up": 0.108696,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040555,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.412237,
      "from_high_reference": -0.102828,
      "from_low_reference": 0.558036
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.158333,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.258941,
      "structural_low": 2.46,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.075188,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037692,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.709606,
        "worst_return": -0.219628,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.078122,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028315,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.316333,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.227269,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.189152,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.112782,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.211572,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2022-09-09",
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        "return": -0.032258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2022-10-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001207,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-09-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
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        "trend": 2.851287,
        "fair_value": 4.706818,
        "relative_strength": -2.861918,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.346071,
        "energy": 33.930242,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.737333,
          2.764182,
          2.906857,
          2.907367
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 2.96,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 13.5,
        "trend": 2.873954,
        "fair_value": 4.659943,
        "relative_strength": 5.599994,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -6.66701,
        "energy": 10.630756,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.818,
          2.796364,
          2.905381,
          2.914381
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 3.01,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 13.5,
        "trend": 2.89562,
        "fair_value": 4.618252,
        "relative_strength": 7.733849,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.230368,
        "energy": 17.574048,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.900667,
          2.835455,
          2.90819,
          2.923158
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2.96,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 13.5,
        "trend": 2.895333,
        "fair_value": 4.57548,
        "relative_strength": 3.205782,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.38123,
        "energy": 18.787983,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.938667,
          2.860182,
          2.905714,
          2.927312
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 3.03,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 11.45,
        "trend": 2.913,
        "fair_value": 4.539486,
        "relative_strength": 6.137068,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.957431,
        "energy": 33.955922,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.98,
          2.895818,
          2.910095,
          2.936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 3.23,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 11.25,
        "trend": 2.935333,
        "fair_value": 4.506634,
        "relative_strength": 13.230109,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 56.67755,
        "energy": 64.771512,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.075333,
          2.966182,
          2.933857,
          2.956452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 3.26,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 11.2,
        "trend": 2.960333,
        "fair_value": 4.477435,
        "relative_strength": 12.798985,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 58.361413,
        "energy": 75.600636,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.149333,
          3.035636,
          2.96,
          2.977398
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 3.41,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 11.2,
        "trend": 2.985333,
        "fair_value": 4.446562,
        "relative_strength": 18.71679,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.854327,
        "energy": 90.618329,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.253333,
          3.122909,
          3.0,
          3.006409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 3.54,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 11.1,
        "trend": 3.017333,
        "fair_value": 4.420552,
        "relative_strength": 20.760671,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.137422,
        "energy": 97.096354,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.374,
          3.218909,
          3.051476,
          3.042194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3.41,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 6.45,
        "trend": 3.039667,
        "fair_value": 4.392411,
        "relative_strength": 13.896122,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.252381,
        "energy": 88.243981,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.412667,
          3.275273,
          3.089524,
          3.067527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.59,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4.9,
        "trend": 3.063667,
        "fair_value": 4.367675,
        "relative_strength": 21.260197,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.5986,
        "energy": 94.361762,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.486,
          3.354,
          3.145238,
          3.103032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.84,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.45,
        "trend": 3.096333,
        "fair_value": 4.342427,
        "relative_strength": 27.555638,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.239551,
        "energy": 97.421415,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.618667,
          3.463091,
          3.224143,
          3.153118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.75,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 3.5,
        "trend": 3.124667,
        "fair_value": 4.314494,
        "relative_strength": 22.259182,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.811516,
        "energy": 91.821359,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.682667,
          3.539818,
          3.289714,
          3.19529
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.62,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.5,
        "trend": 3.145333,
        "fair_value": 4.287788,
        "relative_strength": 16.105377,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.917272,
        "energy": 82.529769,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.680667,
          3.579455,
          3.338,
          3.227247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.49,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.3,
        "trend": 3.158333,
        "fair_value": 4.258941,
        "relative_strength": 11.152998,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.033722,
        "energy": 65.96521,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.63,
          3.583455,
          3.370286,
          3.249484
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}