{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca3eca43-f448-4e33-bb44-7d158493b791", "symbol": "IBULLSLTD", "name": "INDIABULLS LIMITED", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.738, "architecture_energy": 63.801, "architecture_maturity": 81.366, "architecture_confidence": 89.575, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.28, "rotation_up": 58.29, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 65.76, "rotation_down": 27.33, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.058, 28.453818, 25.339619, 22.083333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.43, "trend_reference": 18.139667, "distance_from_trend": 0.622411, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.529167, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.025581, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 62.64719, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.771186, "excess_performance": 1.814896, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.622411, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.198656, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.025581, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.538865, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.626472, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.322142, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.771186, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.945418, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31647741, "relative_activity": 0.742339, "balance": 0.945418, "dry_up": 0.941093, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106145, "annualized_volatility": 0.732972, "from_high_reference": -0.094462, "from_low_reference": 2.306742 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.139667, "fair_value_reference": 14.529167, "structural_low": 8.9, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.00675, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.021777, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.260315, "worst_return": -0.322999, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.016667, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.045131, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.294815, "worst_return": -0.26029, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.101667, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.202212, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.011111, "worst_return": -0.181001, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.096123, "energy": 84.14043, "activity_lines": [ 29.456667, 27.641636, 23.844429, 20.663613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.379999, "volume": 45715499, "typical_volume": 43317378.85, "trend": 17.584, "fair_value": 14.419359, "relative_strength": 54.557821, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.090418, "energy": 65.590669, "activity_lines": [ 28.97, 27.936909, 24.536428, 21.319075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.43, "volume": 31647741, "typical_volume": 42632480.95, "trend": 18.139667, "fair_value": 14.529167, "relative_strength": 62.64719, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.73787, "energy": 63.800743, "activity_lines": [ 29.058, 28.453818, 25.339619, 22.083333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }