{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca400376-17f6-45a7-aa31-97580c0f1cd6", "symbol": "BYND", "name": "Beyond Meat, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.413, "architecture_energy": 88.763, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.897, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.93, "rotation_up": 8.68, "upward_expansion": 21.35, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 81.48, "downward_expansion": 97.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.499733, 0.536336, 0.592386, 0.612173 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.4795, "trend_reference": 0.641133, "distance_from_trend": -0.252106, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.055953, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.881779, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -63.011658, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.228107, "excess_performance": -0.402354, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.252106, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155518, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.881779, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026869, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.630117, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010148, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.228107, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.13327, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58630, "relative_activity": 0.92987, "balance": 0.13327, "dry_up": 0.461878, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112521, "annualized_volatility": 0.788596, "from_high_reference": -0.925797, "from_low_reference": 0.087302 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.641133, "fair_value_reference": 4.055953, "structural_low": 0.4581, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 52, "median_return": -0.058438, "positive_rate": 0.365385, "directional_follow_through": 0.634615, "median_excess_return": -0.091266, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.96538, "worst_return": -0.791106, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.152657, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.705882, "median_excess_return": -0.238551, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.247206, "worst_return": -0.654658, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.350446, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.313281, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.12524, "worst_return": -0.712147, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.069811, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.198912, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.366504, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.15758, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.029424, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": 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-62.124242, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.763648, "energy": 42.551113, "activity_lines": [ 0.5984, 0.6193, 0.646101, 0.656365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.5195, "volume": 17205, "typical_volume": 72585.7, "trend": 0.67269, "fair_value": 4.306117, "relative_strength": -63.601475, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.19466, "energy": 58.816841, "activity_lines": [ 0.5711, 0.597064, 0.633226, 0.645354 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.491, "volume": 32069, "typical_volume": 65744.3, "trend": 0.660963, "fair_value": 4.218764, "relative_strength": -64.203732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.072763, "energy": 83.545898, "activity_lines": [ 0.539833, 0.573473, 0.618856, 0.633632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.502, "volume": 8585, "typical_volume": 62821.7, "trend": 0.65315, "fair_value": 4.127482, "relative_strength": -61.712484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.312674, "energy": 86.521679, "activity_lines": [ 0.5203, 0.555364, 0.606296, 0.623377 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.4795, "volume": 58630, "typical_volume": 63051.8, "trend": 0.641133, "fair_value": 4.055953, "relative_strength": -63.011658, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.413425, "energy": 88.763485, "activity_lines": [ 0.499733, 0.536336, 0.592386, 0.612173 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }