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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.879, "architecture_energy": 79.443, "architecture_maturity": 38.419, "architecture_confidence": 77.431, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.01, "rotation_up": 73.55, "upward_expansion": 90.87, "deceleration": 49.0, "rotation_down": 18.66, "downward_expansion": 15.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.911334, 76.293402, 75.085373, 73.930832 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 78.330002, "trend_reference": 72.512243, "distance_from_trend": 0.080231, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.3013, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.391265, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.143614, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.13771, "excess_performance": 0.017289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080231, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037722, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.391265, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036734, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.001436, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017517, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.13771, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.753618, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 127500, "relative_activity": 1.061527, "balance": 2.753618, "dry_up": 0.974315, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016107, "annualized_volatility": 0.118509, "from_high_reference": -0.002674, "from_low_reference": 0.295559 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.512243, "fair_value_reference": 56.3013, "structural_low": 66.660004, "invalidation": 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72.668778 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 76.25, "volume": 143600, "typical_volume": 131240.0, "trend": 71.737746, "fair_value": 55.62486, "relative_strength": 0.50396, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.944626, "energy": 87.9001, "activity_lines": [ 75.879333, 75.235876, 73.969259, 72.975279 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 76.25, "volume": 103100, "typical_volume": 127225.0, "trend": 71.958466, "fair_value": 55.844475, "relative_strength": 0.230331, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.648781, "energy": 85.02312, "activity_lines": [ 76.098666, 75.53488, 74.3089, 73.266392 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 76.150002, "volume": 93900, "typical_volume": 122395.0, "trend": 72.222723, "fair_value": 56.067142, "relative_strength": 0.524479, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.700722, "energy": 72.977348, "activity_lines": [ 76.174667, 75.739077, 74.609835, 73.536814 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 78.330002, "volume": 127500, "typical_volume": 120110.0, "trend": 72.512243, "fair_value": 56.3013, "relative_strength": 0.143614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.879469, "energy": 79.442776, "activity_lines": [ 76.911334, 76.293402, 75.085373, 73.930832 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }