{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca7115a7-7819-470e-9972-4c887106c6a6", "symbol": "ALSTI", "name": "STIF Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.304, "architecture_energy": 29.668, "architecture_maturity": 18.203, "architecture_confidence": 79.138, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.7, "rotation_up": 11.88, "upward_expansion": 1.56, "deceleration": 52.72, "rotation_down": 63.64, "downward_expansion": 79.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.876667, 52.623637, 52.650708, 52.929466 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 51.5, "trend_reference": 54.410177, "distance_from_trend": -0.053486, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.733815, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.329588, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.370357, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.166667, "excess_performance": -0.219978, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.053486, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011476, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.329588, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013332, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.183704, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018748, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.424683, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30632, "relative_activity": 0.389107, "balance": 1.424683, "dry_up": 0.455821, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071293, "annualized_volatility": 0.526952, "from_high_reference": -0.436543, "from_low_reference": 0.315669 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.410177, "fair_value_reference": 38.733815, 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"trend": 54.590177, "fair_value": 38.340794, "relative_strength": -16.521431, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.360103, "energy": 17.045429, "activity_lines": [ 53.416667, 54.412019, 52.744142, 53.617683 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 52.200001, "volume": 26523, "typical_volume": 84376.55, "trend": 54.61351, "fair_value": 38.443455, "relative_strength": -16.401011, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.805131, "energy": 27.846532, "activity_lines": [ 52.646667, 54.063248, 52.694593, 53.463479 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 52.0, "volume": 49757, "typical_volume": 82300.75, "trend": 54.55351, "fair_value": 38.543136, "relative_strength": -16.24321, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.989789, "energy": 28.16384, "activity_lines": [ 52.140001, 53.636622, 52.66933, 53.294865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.900002, "volume": 36624, "typical_volume": 80606.25, "trend": 54.510177, "fair_value": 38.640631, "relative_strength": -16.848469, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.185377, "energy": 25.201833, "activity_lines": [ 52.043334, 53.166539, 52.664067, 53.123671 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.5, "volume": 30632, "typical_volume": 78723.9, "trend": 54.410177, "fair_value": 38.733815, "relative_strength": -18.370357, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.303514, "energy": 29.668325, "activity_lines": [ 51.876667, 52.623637, 52.650708, 52.929466 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }