{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca73d32a-e9d2-4156-b5c3-ca62f8c37c7c", "symbol": "P2LT34", "name": "Palantir Technologies Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.008, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 4.007, "architecture_energy": 11.825, "architecture_maturity": 37.82, "architecture_confidence": 56.686, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.26, "rotation_up": 35.98, "upward_expansion": 19.32, "deceleration": 43.21, "rotation_down": 18.67, "downward_expansion": 55.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 237.975998, 227.513089, 227.792237, 232.396859 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 290.0, "trend_reference": 240.756666, "distance_from_trend": 0.204536, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 158.928781, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.824717, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.796323, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.213897, "excess_performance": 0.270945, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.204536, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118843, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.824717, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.245127, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007963, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.339737, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.213897, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.966038, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 688207, "relative_activity": 5.850936, "balance": 2.966038, "dry_up": 2.193195, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098947, "annualized_volatility": 0.729409, "from_high_reference": -0.224246, "from_low_reference": 0.554793 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 240.756666, "fair_value_reference": 158.928781, "structural_low": 186.520004, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.024408, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.09094, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.024408, "worst_return": 0.024408, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.651113, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.603575, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.651113, "worst_return": 0.651113, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.701364, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.607251, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.701364, "worst_return": 0.701364, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 207.0, "volume": 79912, "typical_volume": 86553.9, "trend": 241.683332, "fair_value": 157.231538, "relative_strength": -30.927979, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.837625, "energy": 34.110864, "activity_lines": [ 213.228663, 214.844361, 222.014713, 229.279655 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 290.0, "volume": 688207, "typical_volume": 117623.4, "trend": 240.756666, "fair_value": 158.928781, "relative_strength": 0.796323, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.006622, "energy": 11.825487, "activity_lines": [ 237.975998, 227.513089, 227.792237, 232.396859 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }