{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ca73e466-44b0-483c-ae46-1631d48b4ebf",
    "symbol": "SAP",
    "name": "SAP SE",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 41.473,
    "architecture_energy": 34.975,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.156,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.404,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.45,
        "rotation_up": 62.24,
        "upward_expansion": 33.98,
        "deceleration": 44.97,
        "rotation_down": 14.34,
        "downward_expansion": 20.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        156.217336,
        148.543274,
        147.183998,
        148.954695
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 177.100006,
    "trend_reference": 154.689544,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.144874,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 188.923757,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.062585,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -22.010827,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.080086,
    "excess_performance": -0.09416,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144874,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.113314,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062585,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155972,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.220108,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197071,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080086,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.912079,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 909,
      "relative_activity": 0.35083,
      "balance": 2.912079,
      "dry_up": 1.077673,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.073023,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.426493,
      "from_high_reference": -0.281121,
      "from_low_reference": 0.38641
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 154.689544,
      "fair_value_reference": 188.923757,
      "structural_low": 127.739998,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.102168,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064659,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.102168,
        "worst_return": 0.102168,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.161498,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.06837,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.161498,
        "worst_return": 0.161498,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.267296,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.226753,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.267296,
        "worst_return": 0.267296,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.362289,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.331615,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.362289,
        "worst_return": 0.362289,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-01",
        "end": "2023-10-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.102388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.037793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.342886,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101095,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.088488,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023291,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031371,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.320259,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 119.61692,
        "volume": 172,
        "typical_volume": 101.6,
        "trend": 113.049851,
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        "relative_strength": 16.84855,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 143.378937,
        "volume": 2328,
        "typical_volume": 2659.15,
        "trend": 184.864618,
        "fair_value": 186.415896,
        "relative_strength": -42.706695,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.882984,
        "energy": 58.136752,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 2793.4,
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        "fair_value": 186.603358,
        "relative_strength": -41.717977,
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        "energy": 50.215185,
        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 2457,
        "typical_volume": 2910.3,
        "trend": 179.356921,
        "fair_value": 186.758697,
        "relative_strength": -41.263703,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 50.186347,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 5300,
        "typical_volume": 3151.65,
        "trend": 176.726914,
        "fair_value": 186.975885,
        "relative_strength": -38.412046,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.195547,
        "energy": 38.174667,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 156.119995,
        "volume": 3370,
        "typical_volume": 3275.8,
        "trend": 174.458141,
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        "relative_strength": -37.434751,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.103498,
        "energy": 28.542702,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 161.720001,
        "volume": 2684,
        "typical_volume": 3374.15,
        "trend": 172.770976,
        "fair_value": 187.488036,
        "relative_strength": -33.440875,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.253331,
        "energy": 19.082048,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 140.279999,
        "volume": 1408,
        "typical_volume": 3337.7,
        "trend": 170.511718,
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        "relative_strength": -42.908114,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 22.881251,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 2865.3,
        "trend": 165.908206,
        "fair_value": 187.802943,
        "relative_strength": -44.303613,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.297137,
        "energy": 48.075925,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.663998,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 139.399994,
        "volume": 46,
        "typical_volume": 2740.5,
        "trend": 163.573728,
        "fair_value": 187.947647,
        "relative_strength": -42.869872,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.136432,
        "energy": 61.171801,
        "activity_lines": [
          138.68133,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 137.960007,
        "volume": 602,
        "typical_volume": 2715.55,
        "trend": 161.340379,
        "fair_value": 188.037348,
        "relative_strength": -41.680605,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.093895,
        "energy": 63.364338,
        "activity_lines": [
          137.333333,
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          144.658919,
          150.376988
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 137.919998,
        "volume": 2164,
        "typical_volume": 2728.75,
        "trend": 159.218771,
        "fair_value": 188.173922,
        "relative_strength": -39.471274,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.99088,
        "energy": 53.709104,
        "activity_lines": [
          137.556,
          140.862181,
          143.684391,
          148.865995
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 141.240005,
        "volume": 3613,
        "typical_volume": 2743.2,
        "trend": 157.124253,
        "fair_value": 188.315986,
        "relative_strength": -37.857196,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.031884,
        "energy": 35.72121,
        "activity_lines": [
          139.042669,
          140.396,
          143.16976,
          147.706075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 155.059998,
        "volume": 4483,
        "typical_volume": 2692.9,
        "trend": 155.682138,
        "fair_value": 188.559347,
        "relative_strength": -30.655848,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.692187,
        "energy": 10.27693,
        "activity_lines": [
          144.622667,
          142.494545,
          144.108017,
          147.572897
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 177.100006,
        "volume": 909,
        "typical_volume": 2591.0,
        "trend": 154.689544,
        "fair_value": 188.923757,
        "relative_strength": -22.010827,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.47268,
        "energy": 34.975277,
        "activity_lines": [
          156.217336,
          148.543274,
          147.183998,
          148.954695
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}