{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca7cad1e-97f5-47c9-ac53-79cd3ab58e04", "symbol": "605111", "name": "Wuxi NCE Power Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.644, "architecture_energy": 28.602, "architecture_maturity": 69.084, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.3, "rotation_up": 18.94, "upward_expansion": 54.71, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 49.4, "downward_expansion": 25.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.062, 61.871785, 59.728329, 55.577327 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 57.029999, "trend_reference": 50.646327, "distance_from_trend": 0.126044, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.548381, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.650729, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 30.140621, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.237899, "excess_performance": 0.281103, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.126044, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.237129, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.650729, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.261655, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.301406, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176481, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.237899, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.145652, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 103918299, "relative_activity": 1.084267, "balance": 2.145652, "dry_up": 1.277066, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.193036, "annualized_volatility": 0.807854, "from_high_reference": -0.342821, "from_low_reference": 0.787214 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.646327, "fair_value_reference": 34.548381, "structural_low": 36.150002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.017121, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.004924, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.481567, "worst_return": -0.092635, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.20612, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.07109, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.185331, "worst_return": -0.11821, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.301526, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.117687, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.729361, "worst_return": -0.022299, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }