{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ca7f03eb-6f6e-4710-a013-c18900c01294", "symbol": "CRWD", "name": "Crowdstrike Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.881, "architecture_energy": 62.075, "architecture_maturity": 63.339, "architecture_confidence": 84.085, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 61.36, "upward_expansion": 83.01, "deceleration": 67.52, "rotation_down": 22.91, "downward_expansion": 9.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 198.581333, 192.120182, 175.332714, 158.254492 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 214.42, "trend_reference": 138.633208, "distance_from_trend": 0.546671, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 97.594255, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.197056, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 44.983356, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.168597, "excess_performance": 0.981143, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.546671, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.172731, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.197056, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.655928, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.449834, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.498971, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.168597, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.217467, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38775254, "relative_activity": 1.713868, "balance": 2.217467, "dry_up": 1.772754, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106005, "annualized_volatility": 0.577942, "from_high_reference": -0.022475, "from_low_reference": 1.502568 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 138.633208, "fair_value_reference": 97.594255, "structural_low": 85.68, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.019642, "positive_rate": 0.53125, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": 0.018935, "regime_survival": 0.78125, "best_return": 0.235546, "worst_return": -0.208947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.011743, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.075394, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.478639, "worst_return": -0.228612, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.213004, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.098529, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.668423, "worst_return": -0.28532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 179.586, 172.526682, 149.290774, 137.224882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 187.18, "volume": 41991935, "typical_volume": 19861213.05, "trend": 127.967375, "fair_value": 93.489527, "relative_strength": 30.121041, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.645902, "energy": 66.153967, "activity_lines": [ 183.3845, 177.070136, 154.560548, 141.176202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 203.08, "volume": 46313366, "typical_volume": 20214959.1, "trend": 130.726042, "fair_value": 94.549495, "relative_strength": 46.177708, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.284605, "energy": 69.487427, "activity_lines": [ 191.188, 183.172318, 160.915893, 146.022177 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 183.28, "volume": 36888158, "typical_volume": 20539669.65, "trend": 132.825458, "fair_value": 95.475008, "relative_strength": 33.288866, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.358882, "energy": 60.113349, "activity_lines": [ 190.232833, 184.381091, 164.86131, 149.412755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 190.86, "volume": 38453251, "typical_volume": 21729059.45, "trend": 135.407625, "fair_value": 96.4573, "relative_strength": 37.058222, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.785643, "energy": 55.166236, "activity_lines": [ 191.0, 186.336045, 169.166571, 153.156919 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 214.42, "volume": 38775254, "typical_volume": 22624407.4, "trend": 138.633208, "fair_value": 97.594255, "relative_strength": 44.983356, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.881455, "energy": 62.074772, "activity_lines": [ 198.581333, 192.120182, 175.332714, 158.254492 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }