{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ca8f2db6-4e46-41d1-a61a-21351fef88d1",
    "symbol": "OMAB",
    "name": "Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 49.147,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -22.936,
    "architecture_energy": 14.776,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.199,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.449,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.5,
        "rotation_up": 20.71,
        "upward_expansion": 16.4,
        "deceleration": 57.74,
        "rotation_down": 39.22,
        "downward_expansion": 59.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        233.867127
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 236.740005,
    "trend_reference": 238.419434,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.007044,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 188.46379,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.256156,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.738877,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.093153,
    "excess_performance": -0.038486,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007044,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003808,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.256156,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022489,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017389,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127536,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093153,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.935152,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2750044,
      "relative_activity": 0.892779,
      "balance": 0.935152,
      "dry_up": 0.840981,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053117,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.300437,
      "from_high_reference": -0.159725,
      "from_low_reference": 0.122232
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 188.46379,
      "structural_low": 211.630005,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.00075,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.013075,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3299829.75,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -10.770395,
        "energy": 19.246415,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 226.139999,
        "volume": 2083780,
        "typical_volume": 3201825.55,
        "trend": 238.77764,
        "fair_value": 187.535406,
        "relative_strength": -5.967975,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.303943,
        "energy": 13.275842,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 231.330002,
        "volume": 2490345,
        "typical_volume": 3114370.45,
        "trend": 238.642074,
        "fair_value": 187.986054,
        "relative_strength": -4.255703,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.199528,
        "energy": 17.801722,
        "activity_lines": [
          231.106666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 236.740005,
        "volume": 2750044,
        "typical_volume": 3080318.75,
        "trend": 238.419434,
        "fair_value": 188.46379,
        "relative_strength": -1.738877,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.936053,
        "energy": 14.776032,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}