{ "ticker": { "uuid": "caa7fa64-406b-4d8f-9794-8ae13fc389d9", "symbol": "REYN", "name": "Reynolds Consumer Products Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.641, "architecture_energy": 52.036, "architecture_maturity": 60.676, "architecture_confidence": 54.692, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.11, "rotation_up": 49.47, "upward_expansion": 74.71, "deceleration": 71.26, "rotation_down": 26.39, "downward_expansion": 12.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.862667, 25.820909, 24.439672, 23.737151 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 26.52, "trend_reference": 23.170598, "distance_from_trend": 0.144554, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.252619, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09349, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.120962, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.188767, "excess_performance": 0.001314, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.144554, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026318, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.09349, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.202862, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00121, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.195471, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.188767, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.188868, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6155805, "relative_activity": 1.089372, "balance": 1.188868, "dry_up": 1.026146, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053265, "annualized_volatility": 0.311185, "from_high_reference": -0.029283, "from_low_reference": 0.311565 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.170598, "fair_value_reference": 24.252619, "structural_low": 20.220112, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.02435, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.009501, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.069815, "worst_return": -0.069811, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.010422, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020842, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.050847, "worst_return": -0.088128, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.083422, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.071424, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.077231, "worst_return": -0.18715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 25.61, "volume": 4970909, "typical_volume": 5555392.05, "trend": 22.983015, "fair_value": 24.248942, "relative_strength": 1.965153, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.822936, "energy": 82.206694, "activity_lines": [ 26.2, 25.446909, 23.909566, 23.387749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.94, "volume": 7055792, "typical_volume": 5627342.75, "trend": 23.06125, "fair_value": 24.247097, "relative_strength": -1.135278, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.802736, "energy": 51.475008, "activity_lines": [ 25.705333, 25.518909, 24.108193, 23.514006 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.52, "volume": 6155805, "typical_volume": 5650784.4, "trend": 23.170598, "fair_value": 24.252619, "relative_strength": 0.120962, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.640549, "energy": 52.035764, "activity_lines": [ 25.862667, 25.820909, 24.439672, 23.737151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }