{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cab747aa-e3f2-4f03-96c2-78bdca9dbec9", "symbol": "SECU-B", "name": "Securitas AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.174, "architecture_energy": 17.676, "architecture_maturity": 43.359, "architecture_confidence": 66.405, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.39, "rotation_up": 24.84, "upward_expansion": 25.4, "deceleration": 56.25, "rotation_down": 52.04, "downward_expansion": 34.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 154.026667, 156.247274, 156.776079, 156.594998 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 150.5, "trend_reference": 155.377601, "distance_from_trend": -0.031392, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 124.739638, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.206513, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.030476, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.038052, "excess_performance": -0.099547, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031392, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.206513, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125915, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.100305, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08827, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.038052, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.441087, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6594349, "relative_activity": 1.367382, "balance": 0.441087, "dry_up": 1.532316, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052441, "annualized_volatility": 0.248401, "from_high_reference": -0.115746, "from_low_reference": 0.144192 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 155.377601, "fair_value_reference": 124.739638, "structural_low": 141.658415, 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2.901507, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.317012, "energy": 58.272669, "activity_lines": [ 162.213335, 159.449092, 158.474552, 157.252146 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 151.0, "volume": 11542218, "typical_volume": 4569097.4, "trend": 154.88014, "fair_value": 123.824943, "relative_strength": -7.178557, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.537965, "energy": 25.646392, "activity_lines": [ 159.206668, 158.249092, 157.849684, 157.019367 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 153.0, "volume": 7875096, "typical_volume": 4751472.8, "trend": 155.197571, "fair_value": 124.290129, "relative_strength": -7.038572, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.097293, "energy": 7.396238, "activity_lines": [ 156.920001, 157.454547, 157.428154, 156.898067 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 150.5, "volume": 6594349, "typical_volume": 4822607.85, "trend": 155.377601, "fair_value": 124.739638, "relative_strength": -10.030476, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.174264, "energy": 17.67583, "activity_lines": [ 154.026667, 156.247274, 156.776079, 156.594998 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }