{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cabc010f-ab78-4778-8851-410526c8a89c", "symbol": "SCGP", "name": "SCG Packaging Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.646, "architecture_energy": 81.493, "architecture_maturity": 76.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.876, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.08, "rotation_up": 76.92, "upward_expansion": 95.48, "deceleration": 43.09, "rotation_down": 16.28, "downward_expansion": 17.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.97235, 28.982653, 27.065854, 25.323946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 31.0, "trend_reference": 23.298914, "distance_from_trend": 0.330534, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.435876, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.322758, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 31.595394, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.569482, "excess_performance": 0.377157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.330534, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.20431, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.322758, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.288669, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.315954, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114947, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.569482, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.75009, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55835800, "relative_activity": 0.962812, "balance": 1.75009, "dry_up": 1.042796, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063603, "annualized_volatility": 0.408182, "from_high_reference": -0.03876, "from_low_reference": 1.117221 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.298914, "fair_value_reference": 23.435876, "structural_low": 15.919309, 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"up", "direction": 73.854346, "energy": 82.793784, "activity_lines": [ 27.643989, 26.569806, 24.736931, 23.359869 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.619673, "volume": 42573200, "typical_volume": 61155470.0, "trend": 22.008143, "fair_value": 23.557213, "relative_strength": 21.808884, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.306624, "energy": 79.766438, "activity_lines": [ 28.164154, 27.080731, 25.277516, 23.814789 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.606558, "volume": 109051000, "typical_volume": 62539725.0, "trend": 22.431629, "fair_value": 23.510267, "relative_strength": 24.99528, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.216933, "energy": 72.942821, "activity_lines": [ 28.758635, 27.705276, 25.872201, 24.305009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.1, "volume": 34437000, "typical_volume": 60169030.0, "trend": 22.874839, "fair_value": 23.469442, "relative_strength": 27.770287, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.256153, "energy": 75.067755, "activity_lines": [ 29.310492, 28.313965, 26.457126, 24.799742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.0, "volume": 55835800, "typical_volume": 57992425.0, "trend": 23.298914, "fair_value": 23.435876, "relative_strength": 31.595394, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.64617, "energy": 81.492998, "activity_lines": [ 29.97235, 28.982653, 27.065854, 25.323946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }