{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cac37b56-d685-482e-ab9f-4004d19d3f0c", "symbol": "WINMED", "name": "Winnergy Medical Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 33.647, "architecture_energy": 38.989, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.722, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.61, "rotation_up": 70.31, "upward_expansion": 43.93, "deceleration": 39.87, "rotation_down": 16.74, "downward_expansion": 18.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.906, 0.863455, 0.856095, 0.865282 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.94, "trend_reference": 0.878772, "distance_from_trend": 0.069675, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.728304, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.456114, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.276401, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.095851, "excess_performance": -0.096474, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069675, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057488, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.456114, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094947, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.202764, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120473, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095851, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.082255, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 614100, "relative_activity": 1.399387, "balance": 2.082255, "dry_up": 1.561008, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063011, "annualized_volatility": 0.314039, "from_high_reference": -0.346993, "from_low_reference": 0.381725 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.878772, "fair_value_reference": 1.728304, "structural_low": 0.75, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.02924, "positive_rate": 0.324324, "directional_follow_through": 0.648649, "median_excess_return": -0.035863, "regime_survival": 0.891892, "best_return": 0.22807, "worst_return": -0.208333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.09811, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.081217, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.177143, "worst_return": -0.311024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.206896, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.178592, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": -0.146552, "worst_return": -0.35733, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 390520.0, "trend": 0.884724, "fair_value": 1.773527, "relative_strength": -28.070098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.469775, "energy": 20.464943, "activity_lines": [ 0.828667, 0.818182, 0.841963, 0.85992 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.9, "volume": 447200, "typical_volume": 393780.0, "trend": 0.882516, "fair_value": 1.758306, "relative_strength": -27.153075, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.103738, "energy": 17.347903, "activity_lines": [ 0.858667, 0.831818, 0.84575, 0.860906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.89, "volume": 488100, "typical_volume": 415145.0, "trend": 0.879646, "fair_value": 1.743145, "relative_strength": -26.025924, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.001853, "energy": 25.585722, "activity_lines": [ 0.878, 0.843273, 0.848571, 0.861389 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.94, "volume": 614100, "typical_volume": 438835.0, "trend": 0.878772, "fair_value": 1.728304, "relative_strength": -20.276401, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.646991, "energy": 38.989051, "activity_lines": [ 0.906, 0.863455, 0.856095, 0.865282 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }