{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb0134f8-26d4-4b7d-8276-35a9c726d95e", "symbol": "WTTR", "name": "Select Energy Services Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.095, "architecture_energy": 44.218, "architecture_maturity": 96.054, "architecture_confidence": 82.019, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.21, "rotation_up": 55.05, "upward_expansion": 78.58, "deceleration": 64.32, "rotation_down": 21.43, "downward_expansion": 5.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.665287, 19.333448, 18.676156, 17.698533 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.23, "trend_reference": 16.219965, "distance_from_trend": 0.247228, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.810062, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.871405, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 33.907689, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.576, "excess_performance": 0.450375, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.247228, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.212354, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.871405, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165742, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.339077, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021314, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.576, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.963474, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15673918, "relative_activity": 1.700176, "balance": 1.963474, "dry_up": 1.083867, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101059, "annualized_volatility": 0.425307, "from_high_reference": -0.099778, "from_low_reference": 1.615193 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.219965, "fair_value_reference": 10.810062, "structural_low": 12.12925, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.037266, "positive_rate": 0.586207, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": 0.017711, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.326965, "worst_return": -0.14772, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.048396, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.035066, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.376234, "worst_return": -0.295017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.04084, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004897, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.424853, "worst_return": -0.119028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"energy": 54.289658, "activity_lines": [ 19.255858, 18.916278, 18.021326, 16.933251 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.100448, "volume": 9594834, "typical_volume": 8778365.65, "trend": 15.664354, "fair_value": 10.661845, "relative_strength": 42.526443, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.258894, "energy": 51.711329, "activity_lines": [ 19.640575, 19.155969, 18.314929, 17.239929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.456138, "volume": 7428447, "typical_volume": 8799291.8, "trend": 15.913421, "fair_value": 10.72985, "relative_strength": 28.106299, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.016855, "energy": 43.234063, "activity_lines": [ 19.317159, 19.075959, 18.421798, 17.420044 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.23, "volume": 15673918, "typical_volume": 9218996.7, "trend": 16.219965, "fair_value": 10.810062, "relative_strength": 33.907689, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.094803, "energy": 44.218431, "activity_lines": [ 19.665287, 19.333448, 18.676156, 17.698533 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }