{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb02c3bd-a59d-434f-88d9-1e137b199a70", "symbol": "688390", "name": "GoodWe Technologies Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -39.912, "architecture_energy": 72.637, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 70.202, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.78, "rotation_up": 16.16, "upward_expansion": 25.58, "deceleration": 43.06, "rotation_down": 74.97, "downward_expansion": 67.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.605335, 76.443274, 91.596619, 93.518451 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 68.300003, "trend_reference": 93.012666, "distance_from_trend": -0.265691, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 76.024147, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.101601, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.649591, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.190566, "excess_performance": -0.147363, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.265691, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114529, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.101601, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.403973, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.106496, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.673255, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.190566, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.696783, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38558881, "relative_activity": 0.982604, "balance": 0.696783, "dry_up": 0.96976, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.228044, "annualized_volatility": 0.764036, "from_high_reference": -0.573045, "from_low_reference": 0.588003 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93.012666, "fair_value_reference": 76.024147, "structural_low": 58.59, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.012088, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.014146, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.012088, "worst_return": -0.012088, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.172617, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.133238, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.172617, "worst_return": -0.172617, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.313667, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.241679, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.313667, "worst_return": -0.313667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"relative_strength": -12.861921, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.97749, "energy": 67.241507, "activity_lines": [ 72.312001, 88.445091, 98.028428, 97.073505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.220001, "volume": 40203385, "typical_volume": 40407897.7, "trend": 92.807, "fair_value": 76.639118, "relative_strength": -15.901499, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.990829, "energy": 76.571261, "activity_lines": [ 66.486667, 81.168728, 94.435238, 95.099548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.300003, "volume": 38558881, "typical_volume": 39241515.35, "trend": 93.012666, "fair_value": 76.024147, "relative_strength": -10.649591, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.911899, "energy": 72.637316, "activity_lines": [ 65.605335, 76.443274, 91.596619, 93.518451 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }