{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb0e781e-f530-433f-a546-6e4a89fec2a3", "symbol": "6492", "name": "Senhwa Biosciences, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.748, "architecture_energy": 85.555, "architecture_maturity": 25.229, "architecture_confidence": 91.662, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.68, "rotation_up": 10.99, "upward_expansion": 21.46, "deceleration": 37.16, "rotation_down": 76.87, "downward_expansion": 97.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.005085, 40.692127, 43.121897, 45.328344 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 38.799999, "trend_reference": 47.922938, "distance_from_trend": -0.190367, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 44.593514, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.129918, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.339799, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.289377, "excess_performance": -0.730749, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.190367, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00261, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.129918, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.190615, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.383398, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149704, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.289377, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.179136, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1523244, "relative_activity": 1.136723, "balance": 0.179136, "dry_up": 1.052607, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074918, "annualized_volatility": 0.382862, "from_high_reference": -0.416541, "from_low_reference": 0.105413 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.922938, "fair_value_reference": 44.593514, "structural_low": 36.900002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.034321, "positive_rate": 0.432432, "directional_follow_through": 0.567568, "median_excess_return": -0.030687, "regime_survival": 0.864865, "best_return": 0.279597, "worst_return": -0.35316, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.106178, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.101806, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.216814, "worst_return": -0.261728, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.028428, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.040903, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.31825, "worst_return": -0.401401, 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46.36381, 47.755269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.088135, "volume": 1108199, "typical_volume": 1460417.25, "trend": 48.367938, "fair_value": 44.711463, "relative_strength": -34.88591, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.099275, "energy": 71.904981, "activity_lines": [ 42.526045, 43.232388, 45.578632, 47.217837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.950001, "volume": 1341795, "typical_volume": 1462135.0, "trend": 48.282938, "fair_value": 44.669475, "relative_strength": -35.422003, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.429918, "energy": 83.252204, "activity_lines": [ 41.21017, 42.335332, 44.740832, 46.610228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.700001, "volume": 1668867, "typical_volume": 1376000.3, "trend": 48.086271, "fair_value": 44.622039, "relative_strength": -38.515914, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.35832, "energy": 87.856996, "activity_lines": [ 39.697628, 41.345547, 43.832555, 45.927458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 38.799999, "volume": 1523244, "typical_volume": 1340030.7, "trend": 47.922938, "fair_value": 44.593514, "relative_strength": -38.339799, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.747852, "energy": 85.555239, "activity_lines": [ 39.005085, 40.692127, 43.121897, 45.328344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }