{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cb0fa4af-df6b-45bd-af33-7e7655c4ec84",
    "symbol": "LGOV",
    "name": "FIRST TR EXCHANGE TRADED FD IV LONG DURATION OPPORTUNITIES ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 70.105,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -54.402,
    "architecture_energy": 47.371,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.41,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.665,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.79,
        "rotation_up": 13.81,
        "upward_expansion": 9.44,
        "deceleration": 40.21,
        "rotation_down": 61.0,
        "downward_expansion": 85.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.977368,
        21.091624,
        21.183944,
        21.270384
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 21.011,
    "trend_reference": 21.387976,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.017626,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 20.260947,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.03702,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.454548,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.02718,
    "excess_performance": -0.152805,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017626,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005013,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03702,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028285,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124545,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024714,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02718,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.072899,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1178394,
      "relative_activity": 1.264511,
      "balance": 1.072899,
      "dry_up": 0.921564,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023534,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.081606,
      "from_high_reference": -0.099538,
      "from_low_reference": 0.034875
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.387976,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.260947,
      "structural_low": 20.302932,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.019772,
        "positive_rate": 0.368421,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000384,
        "regime_survival": 0.842105,
        "best_return": 0.074712,
        "worst_return": -0.048783,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.004005,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02222,
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        "worst_return": -0.105108,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.004119,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.101517,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.14588,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
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        "return": 0.022198,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 950089.65,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "direction": -44.83534,
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          21.247827,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.88,
        "volume": 794905,
        "typical_volume": 925765.5,
        "trend": 21.423271,
        "fair_value": 20.237097,
        "relative_strength": -9.599577,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.887516,
        "energy": 43.025823,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.113126,
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          21.250511,
          21.332766
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.85,
        "volume": 823165,
        "typical_volume": 922887.3,
        "trend": 21.404659,
        "fair_value": 20.248691,
        "relative_strength": -10.38865,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.712937,
        "energy": 49.788777,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.996724,
          21.125277,
          21.208239,
          21.295781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.011,
        "volume": 1178394,
        "typical_volume": 931896.95,
        "trend": 21.387976,
        "fair_value": 20.260947,
        "relative_strength": -12.454548,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.401885,
        "energy": 47.371429,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.977368,
          21.091624,
          21.183944,
          21.270384
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}